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EXPANDING OPPORTUNITIES<br />
137<br />
67. World Bank 2011.<br />
68. See http://blog.jetblue.com/index.php/2013/09/05<br />
/unpacked-working-from-home/, accessed June 19,<br />
2015.<br />
69. Bloom and others 2014.<br />
70. See http://www.philstar.com/education-and-home<br />
/2013/06/13/953332/filipino-teachers-uruguay.<br />
71. Muto and Yamano 2009.<br />
72. e-Choupal, “The Status of Execution.” http://www<br />
.itcportal.com/businesses/agri-business/e-choupal<br />
.aspx.<br />
73. World Bank 2014a; Demirgüç-Kunt and others 2015.<br />
74. Jack and Suri 2014.<br />
75. Fingerprint scanning among paprika farmers in<br />
Malawi increased repayment rates (IFPRI and<br />
World Bank 2010).<br />
76. For a discussion on personal networks and<br />
labor markets, see Granovetter (1973) and Calvo-<br />
Armengol (2004).<br />
77. Boase and others 2006.<br />
78. World Bank 2011.<br />
79. La Ferrara, Chong, and Duryea 2012; Jensen and<br />
Oster 2009.<br />
80. WDR 2016 team, based on Research ICT Africa<br />
surveys (various years).<br />
81. De, Mohapatra, and Plaza, forthcoming, for the<br />
WDR 2016.<br />
82. Camacho and Conover 2011; Jensen 2010.<br />
83. Goyal 2010; Aker 2010a; Best and others 2010; Aker<br />
2011; Martin 2010.<br />
84. Aker and Mbiti 2010.<br />
85. Beuermann, McKelvey, and Vakis 2012.<br />
86. May, Dutton, and Munyakazi 2011.<br />
87. Jensen 2007.<br />
88. Pineda, Aguero, and Espinoza 2011.<br />
89. Galiani and Jaitman 2010.<br />
90. Asad 2014.<br />
91. Aker 2010a; Pineda, Aguero, and Espinoza 2011.<br />
92. Aker 2010a.<br />
93. Aker 2011.<br />
94. Tadesse and Bahiigwa 2015; Jagun, Heeks, and<br />
Whalley 2008.<br />
95. Amazon Mechanical Turk is an online work platform.<br />
The quote was obtained through an online<br />
questionnaire of online workers done in September<br />
2014 for this Report.<br />
96. Varian 2011.<br />
97. Government of Estonia 2015.<br />
98. Interactive Advertising Bureau 2010.<br />
99. Greenstein and McDevitt 2011.<br />
100. WDR 2016 team, based on Research ICT Africa surveys<br />
(various years).<br />
101. Pew Research Center 2014.<br />
102. In the United States, the median tenure for male<br />
wage and salary workers was lower in 2014 at 5.5<br />
years, compared with 5.9 years in 1983 (Copeland<br />
2015). Dutz and others (2015, for the WDR 2016)<br />
show more turnover among young workers in<br />
industries intensive in ICT in Brazil. See also<br />
Stevenson 2009.<br />
103. Handel 2015, for the WDR 2016.<br />
104. World Bank 2012, 2013.<br />
105. Forman, Goldfarb, and Greenstein 2012.<br />
106. Eden and Gaggl 2014; Karabarbounis and Neiman<br />
2013. Eden and Gaggl (2015, for the WDR 2016) suggest<br />
that while the fall in the routine share of labor<br />
is linked to technological change, the shift in the<br />
labor share compared with that of capital may be a<br />
more complex story. In the United States, housing<br />
prices have been identified as a key driver in the<br />
rise of capital shares (Bonnet and others 2014). This<br />
chapter focuses on the fall of routine labor within<br />
the labor share, as this is more clearly linked to<br />
technological change.<br />
107. From 16 to 14 percent in the case of Honduras, and<br />
from 18 to 16 percent in the case of Romania (Eden<br />
and Gaggl 2015, for the WDR 2016).<br />
108. Acemoglu 2002; Aghion and others 2015; Dabla-<br />
Norris and others 2015; Garicano and Rossi-<br />
Hansberg 2006; Jaumotte, Lall, and Papageorgiou<br />
2008; Autor, Katz, and Krueger 1998.<br />
109. Acemoglu and Autor 2011; Akcomak, Kok, and<br />
Rojas-Romagosa 2013; Autor and Dorn 2013; Goos,<br />
Manning, and Salomons, forthcoming.<br />
110. Autor, Dorn, and Hanson, forthcoming; Autor, Dorn,<br />
and Hanson 2013.<br />
111. The number of workers in agriculture declined in<br />
China between 2000 and 2010, but the number of<br />
workers within the sector that were machine or<br />
equipment operators almost doubled (WDR 2016<br />
team, based on the National Bureau of Statistics of<br />
China, various years).<br />
112. Dutz and others 2015; Messina, Oviedo, and Pica<br />
2015 for Mexico and Peru.<br />
113. Goldin and Katz (2008) refer to a race between education<br />
and technology when discussing the case of<br />
the United States, but the phrase was first used by<br />
Tinbergen (1975).<br />
114. Brynjolfsson and McAfee (2014, 11).<br />
115. Oviedo and others (forthcoming) use STEP household<br />
surveys (World Bank, various years) from 10<br />
developing countries to characterize the typical<br />
tasks done across occupations, and show that,<br />
indeed, occupations that are considered intensive<br />
in nonroutine cognitive and socioemotional skills<br />
require workers to do more complex reading, write<br />
longer texts, use more advanced math, contact more<br />
clients, collaborate more with others, as well as do<br />
more thinking, learning, supervising, and presenting.<br />
By contrast, these occupations do fewer routine<br />
and manual activities, such as operating machines<br />
and doing physical activities.<br />
116. WDR calculations based on STEP household surveys<br />
(World Bank, various years).