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306 WORLD DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2016<br />

Figure 6.7 Proportion of international<br />

financial institution projects with<br />

successful outcomes<br />

World Bank<br />

ADB: Sovereign<br />

ADB: Nonsovereign<br />

IFAD<br />

IFC<br />

AfDB<br />

EBRD<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80<br />

Percent<br />

Sources: Based on most recent available reviews of independent evaluations<br />

or independent validations of self-assessments. Data at http://bit.do<br />

/WDR2016-Fig6_7.<br />

Note: ADB = Asian Development Bank; AfDB = African Development Bank;<br />

EBRD = European Bank for Reconstruction and Development; IFAD =<br />

International Fund for Agricultural Development; IFC = International Finance<br />

Corporation. “Outcome” is an index combining efficacy, relevance, and<br />

efficiency. “Success” is a rating of 4 or better on a 6-point scale (IFAD, IFC,<br />

World Bank); 3 or better on a 4-point scale (ADB, EBRD); or 2.5 or better on<br />

a 4-point scale (AfDB).<br />

by locally recruited women using a tablet computer.<br />

The annual survey, planned for 1 million respondents,<br />

aims to provide actionable feedback at all levels from<br />

village to state (box 6.3).<br />

Feedback is facilitated for programs that are<br />

built around data platforms. For instance, the Bridge<br />

International Academy in Kenya monitors teacher<br />

and student performance, allowing management<br />

to intervene when teachers, students, or schools are<br />

underperforming (see chapter 3). Bus rapid transport<br />

systems can automatically monitor vehicle speed and<br />

ridership, tracking maintenance, capacity use, and<br />

responses to weather. Health systems can track use<br />

and outcomes if patients and providers use digital<br />

ID cards to log services. Remote sensing can track<br />

program impacts on agriculture, water use, deforestation<br />

reduction, or air pollution. Ground sensors can<br />

track the sustainability of infrastructure in remote<br />

and conflict-affected areas, as in Afghanistan and<br />

Pakistan. These systems offer rich, representative,<br />

actionable real-time information.<br />

Organizational inertia impedes agile,<br />

feedback-intensive approaches<br />

These techniques are technically feasible, but are they<br />

organizationally feasible? One obstacle is a skills gap,<br />

but this can be remedied through training. Obstacles<br />

posed by incentives are more formidable. First, donor<br />

agencies, their staff, and their recipients are often<br />

focused more on maximizing disbursements than on<br />

optimizing results. Disbursements are more immediately<br />

linked to organizational power and survival,<br />

and have traditionally been much easier to track and<br />

manage.<br />

Second, organizations cling to procedures that<br />

assume that projects can be thoroughly planned in<br />

advance and in detail. According to an OECD survey,<br />

“Development practitioners report being constrained<br />

by rigid results frameworks that are not flexible<br />

enough to include new sets of information to adapt to<br />

Figure 6.8 High-quality M&E improves project outcomes<br />

High-quality M&E<br />

Substantial M&E<br />

Modest M&E<br />

Negligible M&E<br />

Outcome (independently rated)<br />

Highly satisfactory<br />

Satisfactory<br />

Moderately satisfactory<br />

Moderately unsatisfactory<br />

Unsatisfactory<br />

Highly unsatisfactory<br />

Source: WDR 2016 team based on World Bank data. Data at http://bit.do/WDR2016-Fig6_8.<br />

Note: Colors code the proportion of projects by outcome. The size of the circle is proportional to the number of projects in the M&E category. M&E = monitoring<br />

and evaluation.

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