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NATIONAL PRIORITIES<br />

249<br />

• Rising shifts of income from labor to capital and<br />

the drop in mid-level jobs in many countries suggest<br />

that the gains from greater use of technology<br />

may not be equitably shared. Without complementary<br />

investments in the skills that workers need to<br />

leverage the internet, automation could exacerbate<br />

inequality rather than promote greater opportunity<br />

and shared prosperity.<br />

• E-government projects have a poor record in<br />

many countries; governments have too often been<br />

unable, and sometimes unwilling, to use the internet<br />

to improve service delivery and increase public<br />

participation. Without more capable and more<br />

accountable public sector institutions, technology<br />

investments could lead to more control and not to<br />

greater empowerment of citizens.<br />

Business regulations that ensure a high degree<br />

of competition, skills that prepare workers for the<br />

21st-century workplace, and accountable public institutions<br />

that use the internet to improve services—<br />

together these constitute the analog foundation that<br />

supports an inclusive, efficient, and innovative digital<br />

transformation.<br />

The idea that technology alone is not enough to<br />

have a widespread impact on development is supported<br />

by a growing academic literature. Researchers<br />

focus on different angles, but come to similar<br />

conclusions (box 5.1). In a growth context, the level<br />

of analysis is a country or sector, and what matters<br />

is how technology interacts with rules—that is, with<br />

regulations and similar endowments. In a labor market<br />

context, the level of analysis is occupations or<br />

specific tasks, and what matters is the interaction of<br />

automation and worker skills. And in a government<br />

context, the level of analysis is a public service, and<br />

what matters for delivery is the accountability of<br />

institutions.<br />

The interdependence<br />

between technology and<br />

complements<br />

Technology and its complements feed on one another.<br />

Improvements in the business climate, human capital,<br />

and public sector governance are already high on<br />

the reform agenda in most countries. With greater<br />

use of technology, the complements also become<br />

more valuable because they interact. Thanks to technology,<br />

firms operating in a well-regulated business<br />

environment are more innovative. Skilled workers<br />

are more efficient. And accountable institutions are<br />

Figure 5.1 Risks from digital technologies in the<br />

absence of complements<br />

Scale<br />

without competition<br />

CONCENTRATION<br />

Source: WDR 2016 team.<br />

more inclusive. The internet thus tends to amplify<br />

existing strengths and weaknesses, and progress<br />

in these areas therefore becomes even more urgent.<br />

Otherwise, there is a risk of falling further behind<br />

for those who do not make the necessary reforms. As<br />

the following sections will show, technology does not<br />

just increase the value of complements. It can also<br />

often raise their quality—for instance, through online<br />

business registration programs, online education, or<br />

better monitoring.<br />

So how can businesses, people, and governments<br />

reap the greatest digital dividends? The Report<br />

suggests many detailed steps to strengthen analog<br />

complements, but policy makers should also keep in<br />

mind a set of overarching principles concerning the<br />

interaction of technology and complements.<br />

Guiding premises<br />

DIGITAL<br />

TECHNOLOGIES<br />

Automation<br />

without skills<br />

INEQUALITY<br />

The inability to scale up is one of the most<br />

commonly cited reasons for failed digital<br />

interventions<br />

The popular media is filled with inspiring stories<br />

involving technology: digital marketplaces are<br />

helping artisans in remote hillsides to access global<br />

markets; the on-demand economy is creating new<br />

startups and digital entrepreneurs; and social media<br />

tools are helping citizens organize and rally around<br />

issues of common concern. But after a promising<br />

start, many initiatives seem to flounder. For every<br />

successful online commerce platform, nearly four<br />

fail to achieve scale. Despite the growing popularity<br />

of the on-demand economy, the firm startup rate in<br />

Information<br />

without accountability<br />

CONTROL

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