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NATIONAL PRIORITIES<br />
249<br />
• Rising shifts of income from labor to capital and<br />
the drop in mid-level jobs in many countries suggest<br />
that the gains from greater use of technology<br />
may not be equitably shared. Without complementary<br />
investments in the skills that workers need to<br />
leverage the internet, automation could exacerbate<br />
inequality rather than promote greater opportunity<br />
and shared prosperity.<br />
• E-government projects have a poor record in<br />
many countries; governments have too often been<br />
unable, and sometimes unwilling, to use the internet<br />
to improve service delivery and increase public<br />
participation. Without more capable and more<br />
accountable public sector institutions, technology<br />
investments could lead to more control and not to<br />
greater empowerment of citizens.<br />
Business regulations that ensure a high degree<br />
of competition, skills that prepare workers for the<br />
21st-century workplace, and accountable public institutions<br />
that use the internet to improve services—<br />
together these constitute the analog foundation that<br />
supports an inclusive, efficient, and innovative digital<br />
transformation.<br />
The idea that technology alone is not enough to<br />
have a widespread impact on development is supported<br />
by a growing academic literature. Researchers<br />
focus on different angles, but come to similar<br />
conclusions (box 5.1). In a growth context, the level<br />
of analysis is a country or sector, and what matters<br />
is how technology interacts with rules—that is, with<br />
regulations and similar endowments. In a labor market<br />
context, the level of analysis is occupations or<br />
specific tasks, and what matters is the interaction of<br />
automation and worker skills. And in a government<br />
context, the level of analysis is a public service, and<br />
what matters for delivery is the accountability of<br />
institutions.<br />
The interdependence<br />
between technology and<br />
complements<br />
Technology and its complements feed on one another.<br />
Improvements in the business climate, human capital,<br />
and public sector governance are already high on<br />
the reform agenda in most countries. With greater<br />
use of technology, the complements also become<br />
more valuable because they interact. Thanks to technology,<br />
firms operating in a well-regulated business<br />
environment are more innovative. Skilled workers<br />
are more efficient. And accountable institutions are<br />
Figure 5.1 Risks from digital technologies in the<br />
absence of complements<br />
Scale<br />
without competition<br />
CONCENTRATION<br />
Source: WDR 2016 team.<br />
more inclusive. The internet thus tends to amplify<br />
existing strengths and weaknesses, and progress<br />
in these areas therefore becomes even more urgent.<br />
Otherwise, there is a risk of falling further behind<br />
for those who do not make the necessary reforms. As<br />
the following sections will show, technology does not<br />
just increase the value of complements. It can also<br />
often raise their quality—for instance, through online<br />
business registration programs, online education, or<br />
better monitoring.<br />
So how can businesses, people, and governments<br />
reap the greatest digital dividends? The Report<br />
suggests many detailed steps to strengthen analog<br />
complements, but policy makers should also keep in<br />
mind a set of overarching principles concerning the<br />
interaction of technology and complements.<br />
Guiding premises<br />
DIGITAL<br />
TECHNOLOGIES<br />
Automation<br />
without skills<br />
INEQUALITY<br />
The inability to scale up is one of the most<br />
commonly cited reasons for failed digital<br />
interventions<br />
The popular media is filled with inspiring stories<br />
involving technology: digital marketplaces are<br />
helping artisans in remote hillsides to access global<br />
markets; the on-demand economy is creating new<br />
startups and digital entrepreneurs; and social media<br />
tools are helping citizens organize and rally around<br />
issues of common concern. But after a promising<br />
start, many initiatives seem to flounder. For every<br />
successful online commerce platform, nearly four<br />
fail to achieve scale. Despite the growing popularity<br />
of the on-demand economy, the firm startup rate in<br />
Information<br />
without accountability<br />
CONTROL