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DELIVERING SERVICES<br />

165<br />

Box 3.5 The high failure rate of e-government projects<br />

Despite spending more than $600 billion on IT over the past decade, the federal government has achieved<br />

little of the productivity improvements that private industry has realized from IT. Too often, federal IT projects<br />

run over budget, run behind schedule, or fail to deliver promised functionality.<br />

—U.S. Office of Management and Budget 2010<br />

Many public sector digital technology projects fail.<br />

Although the evidence is limited, various estimates from<br />

surveys of government officials, audit reports, and country<br />

cases suggest that about 30 percent of these projects<br />

are total failures, with the project abandoned before<br />

completion. Another 50 to 60 percent are partial failures,<br />

with significant budget and time overruns and only a<br />

limited number of the project objectives achieved. Fewer than<br />

20 percent are successes. a In some cases, even if e-government<br />

projects are successfully implemented they may actually<br />

worsen outcomes as, without proper regulatory safeguards in<br />

place, automation makes it easier to perpetrate fraud and corrupt<br />

practices, and to erase records or avoid capturing them<br />

altogether, thereby eroding transparency mechanisms. b<br />

Risky for the private sector, these projects do worse in<br />

governments. One survey of U.S. information technology<br />

projects found success rates of 59 percent in retail, 27<br />

percent in manufacturing, and 18 percent in government. c<br />

Larger projects are more likely to fail than smaller ones,<br />

with success rates of only 13 percent on average (figure<br />

B3.5.1) and a skewed distribution, with a small proportion<br />

of projects accounting for a major chunk of budget and<br />

Figure B3.5.1 Success rate of large<br />

public sector ICT projects<br />

Failed<br />

13%<br />

58%<br />

Partially failed<br />

29%<br />

Succeeded<br />

Sources: WDR 2016 team, based on Standish Group 2014 and World Bank<br />

(2015a) Digital Governance Projects Database. Data at http://bit.do<br />

/WDR2016-FigB3_5_1.<br />

Note: “Large” is above US$6 million. Data are for 2010 to 2014.<br />

ICT = information and communication technology.<br />

Figure B3.5.2 Performance of World<br />

Bank–funded ICT projects<br />

Percent<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

ICT projects All projects<br />

Highly satisfactory<br />

Satisfactory<br />

Moderately satisfactory<br />

Moderately unsatisfactory<br />

Unsatisfactory<br />

Highly unsatisfactory<br />

Sources: WDR 2016 team, based on Standish Group 2014 and World Bank<br />

(2015a) Digital Governance Projects Database. Data at http://bit.do<br />

/WDR2016-FigB3_5_2.<br />

Note: Data are for 1995 to 2015. ICT = information and communication<br />

technology.<br />

time overruns. One comprehensive review of more than<br />

1,400 public sector information and communication technology<br />

(ICT) projects found that a sixth went over budget<br />

by 200 percent, posing “systemic” fiscal risks. d<br />

World Bank–funded projects have not fared much better:<br />

27 percent of the roughly 530 information technology<br />

projects from 1995 to 2015 were self-evaluated by the<br />

World Bank as moderately unsatisfactory or worse, in line<br />

with all projects (figure B3.5.2). But far fewer were rated<br />

“satisfactory” or above, with 35 percent for ICT projects and<br />

56 percent for all projects.<br />

e-government scholars provide numerous explanations<br />

for these stark numbers. A widely quoted study blames a<br />

large gap between the regulatory, political, management,<br />

process, and skill realities in government and the ambitions<br />

(Box continues next page)

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