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DELIVERING SERVICES<br />
165<br />
Box 3.5 The high failure rate of e-government projects<br />
Despite spending more than $600 billion on IT over the past decade, the federal government has achieved<br />
little of the productivity improvements that private industry has realized from IT. Too often, federal IT projects<br />
run over budget, run behind schedule, or fail to deliver promised functionality.<br />
—U.S. Office of Management and Budget 2010<br />
Many public sector digital technology projects fail.<br />
Although the evidence is limited, various estimates from<br />
surveys of government officials, audit reports, and country<br />
cases suggest that about 30 percent of these projects<br />
are total failures, with the project abandoned before<br />
completion. Another 50 to 60 percent are partial failures,<br />
with significant budget and time overruns and only a<br />
limited number of the project objectives achieved. Fewer than<br />
20 percent are successes. a In some cases, even if e-government<br />
projects are successfully implemented they may actually<br />
worsen outcomes as, without proper regulatory safeguards in<br />
place, automation makes it easier to perpetrate fraud and corrupt<br />
practices, and to erase records or avoid capturing them<br />
altogether, thereby eroding transparency mechanisms. b<br />
Risky for the private sector, these projects do worse in<br />
governments. One survey of U.S. information technology<br />
projects found success rates of 59 percent in retail, 27<br />
percent in manufacturing, and 18 percent in government. c<br />
Larger projects are more likely to fail than smaller ones,<br />
with success rates of only 13 percent on average (figure<br />
B3.5.1) and a skewed distribution, with a small proportion<br />
of projects accounting for a major chunk of budget and<br />
Figure B3.5.1 Success rate of large<br />
public sector ICT projects<br />
Failed<br />
13%<br />
58%<br />
Partially failed<br />
29%<br />
Succeeded<br />
Sources: WDR 2016 team, based on Standish Group 2014 and World Bank<br />
(2015a) Digital Governance Projects Database. Data at http://bit.do<br />
/WDR2016-FigB3_5_1.<br />
Note: “Large” is above US$6 million. Data are for 2010 to 2014.<br />
ICT = information and communication technology.<br />
Figure B3.5.2 Performance of World<br />
Bank–funded ICT projects<br />
Percent<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
ICT projects All projects<br />
Highly satisfactory<br />
Satisfactory<br />
Moderately satisfactory<br />
Moderately unsatisfactory<br />
Unsatisfactory<br />
Highly unsatisfactory<br />
Sources: WDR 2016 team, based on Standish Group 2014 and World Bank<br />
(2015a) Digital Governance Projects Database. Data at http://bit.do<br />
/WDR2016-FigB3_5_2.<br />
Note: Data are for 1995 to 2015. ICT = information and communication<br />
technology.<br />
time overruns. One comprehensive review of more than<br />
1,400 public sector information and communication technology<br />
(ICT) projects found that a sixth went over budget<br />
by 200 percent, posing “systemic” fiscal risks. d<br />
World Bank–funded projects have not fared much better:<br />
27 percent of the roughly 530 information technology<br />
projects from 1995 to 2015 were self-evaluated by the<br />
World Bank as moderately unsatisfactory or worse, in line<br />
with all projects (figure B3.5.2). But far fewer were rated<br />
“satisfactory” or above, with 35 percent for ICT projects and<br />
56 percent for all projects.<br />
e-government scholars provide numerous explanations<br />
for these stark numbers. A widely quoted study blames a<br />
large gap between the regulatory, political, management,<br />
process, and skill realities in government and the ambitions<br />
(Box continues next page)