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Journal Thoracic Oncology

WCLC2016-Abstract-Book_vF-WEB_revNov17-1

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Abstracts <strong>Journal</strong> of <strong>Thoracic</strong> <strong>Oncology</strong> • Volume 12 Issue S1 January 2017<br />

Background: LDCT screening for lung cancer often triggers follow-up scans for<br />

indeterminate nodules. The non-invasive LuCED test for detection of early<br />

stage lung cancer may resolve nodule findings and reduce LDCT false<br />

positives. In LuCED, patient sputum is analyzed by the Cell-CT® which<br />

computes 3D images of single cells allowing measurement of 3D structural<br />

biomarkers to identify potential abnormal cells. Final case disposition is<br />

determined through cytology review of these cells. Example images of<br />

abnormal cells identified by LuCED are shown in the figure.<br />

the NELSON program for lung cancer screening in different scenarios in<br />

order to assess the robustness of the chosen approach. We are looking to<br />

develop a model that allows for testing the imaging protocol performance<br />

using various high-risk screening populations. Our Objective is to work out a<br />

simulator adaptive to multiple screening scenarios. In a first step, we tested<br />

a simulation of the NELSON triage algorithm by using published statistics as<br />

input data: the distribution of nodule size, the precision of nodule volume<br />

measurements and the distribution of nodules growth. Methods: We modeled<br />

the baseline round of NELSON triage algorithm. We simulated 10,000,000<br />

ground truth (GT) data where the axial diameter of nodules followed a chi2<br />

(df=1) distribution between 3 mm and 20 mm. For each of the GT nodule, we<br />

modeled also a chi2 (df=1) distribution of volume doubling time between 90<br />

and 1000 days. We included into the model a Gaussian distribution of the time<br />

between visits (average: 105 days, standard deviation: 5 days). We modeled<br />

volume measurement of the nodules by adding a Gaussian random error as<br />

documented by the Quantitative Imaging Biomarker Alliance (QIBA) screening<br />

profile. We performed a by-nodule comparison between nodule classification<br />

by the triage algorithm and the corresponding GT in the first round. At each<br />

step of the triage algorithm, we evaluated Sensitivity (Se), Specificity (Sp),<br />

Positive Predictive Value (PPV) and Negative Predictive Value (NPV). Results:<br />

Sensitivity of the triage algorithm for classifying nodules into size categories<br />

was for 96,6% for NODCAT2, 86.9% for NODCAT3 and 90.7% for NODCAT4.<br />

Classification of GROWCAT C yielded Se=66.2% / Sp=21.2%. We found an<br />

overall performance of the NELSON triage algorithm of Se/Sp 94.0%/80.3%.<br />

PPV was 11.3%, and NPV was 99.8% Conclusion: Mathematical modeling<br />

gives valuable insights into the performance of different components of<br />

triage algorithms in lung cancer screening. We found a markedly different<br />

test performance for size versus growth assessment of the NELSON triage<br />

algorithm. Future work will extent the model to non-solid nodules and<br />

multiple rounds of screening. Moreover, it may have the potential to optimize<br />

triage algorithms in the design of screening programs.<br />

Keywords: Lung Screening, Modelling, triage algorithm, volume of nodules<br />

MA01: IMPROVEMENT AND IMPLEMENTATION OF LUNG CANCER SCREENING<br />

MONDAY, DECEMBER 5, 2016 - 11:00-12:30<br />

Methods: Sputum samples from 127 patients were processed by LuCED: 65<br />

patients had biopsy-confirmed lung cancer; and 62 patients were normal<br />

controls. Sensitivity was computed as the percentage of cancer cases where<br />

abnormal cells were found by LuCED. Generally, abnormal cells found in a case<br />

otherwise understood to be normal could constitute a diagnostic overcall and<br />

counted as a false positive. However, a finding of abundant (>5) abnormal cells<br />

in cases understood to be normal indicates discovery of a possible occult<br />

cancer or dysplastic lesion. Accordingly, these cases were not included in<br />

specificity calculations. Results: For cancer cases, the histology included<br />

adenocarcinoma (29 cases), squamous cancer (24), small cell lung cancer (5)<br />

and undifferentiated cancer (7); representing stages 1 (14), 2 (11), 3 (25), 4 (14),<br />

and unknown (1). Abnormal cells were found in 61 of 65 cancer cases for<br />

sensitivity of 93.8%. For stage 1 and 2 cancer, sensitivity was 88%. Ten cells<br />

exhibiting changes consistent with atypical adenomatous hyperplasia were<br />

found in one case. After removal, there remained two false positive cases,<br />

leading to specificity of 96.7% (N = 61). Conclusion: The LuCED test<br />

demonstrates accurate detection of early stage lung cancer with the potential<br />

of detecting pre-cancerous conditions of the lung. Results suggest that<br />

suspicious nodules may be efficiently reconciled by LuCED when used<br />

adjunctively with LDCT.<br />

Keywords: indeterminate nodules, LuCED, Non-Invasise, LDCT<br />

MA01: IMPROVEMENT AND IMPLEMENTATION OF LUNG CANCER SCREENING<br />

MONDAY, DECEMBER 5, 2016 - 11:00-12:30<br />

MA01.05 PREDICTIVE PERFORMANCES OF NELSON SCREENING<br />

PROGRAM BASED ON CLINICAL, METROLOGICAL AND<br />

POPULATION STATISTICS<br />

Hubert Beaumont 1 , Nathalie Faye 2 , Antoine Iannessi 3 , Dag Wormanns 4<br />

1 Sciences, Median Technologies, Valbonne/France, 2 Medical, Median Technologies,<br />

Valbonne/France, 3 Radiology, Centre Antoine Lacassagne, Nice/France, 4 Radiology,<br />

Evangelische Lungenklinik Berlin, Berlin/Germany<br />

Background: The balance of benefits and harms of screening programs<br />

depends on multiple factors such as the scenario of patient selection, the<br />

triage algorithm and the imaging methods. Because of the multifactorial<br />

nature of the outcome of screening programs, it is important to evaluate<br />

the performance of its components. We modeled the triage algorithm of<br />

MA01.06 LONG-TERM FOLLOW-UP OF SMALL PULMONARY<br />

GROUND-GLASS NODULES STABLE FOR 3 YEARS: PROPER FOLLOW-<br />

UP PERIOD AND RISK FACTORS FOR SUBSEQUENT GROWTH<br />

Jaeyoung Cho, Eun Sun Kim, Se Joong Kim, Yeon Joo Lee, Jong Sun Park, Young-<br />

Jae Cho, Ho Il Yoon, Jae Ho Lee, Choon-Taek Lee<br />

Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam/Korea,<br />

Republic of<br />

Background: It is uncertain how long persistent and stable ground-glass<br />

nodules (GGNs) should be followed although a minimum of 3 years is<br />

suggested. Here, we aimed to evaluate the proportion of GGNs showing<br />

subsequent growth after initial 3 years among GGNs that had been stable<br />

during the initial 3 years, and to determine clinical and radiologic factors<br />

associated with subsequent growth. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed<br />

patients who underwent further computed tomography after the initial<br />

3-year follow-up period showing a persistent and stable GGN (at least 5-year<br />

follow-up from initial CT). Results: Between May 2003 and June 2015, 453<br />

GGNs (438 pure GGNs and 15 part-solid GGNs) were found in 218 patients. Of<br />

the 218 patients, 14 patients had 15 GGNs showing subsequent growth after<br />

the initial 3 years during the median follow-up period of 6.4 years. For the<br />

person-based analysis, frequency of subsequent growth of GGNs that had<br />

been stable during initial 3 years was 6.7% (14/218). For the nodule-based<br />

analysis, the frequency was 3.3% (15/453). In a multivariate analysis, age ≥<br />

65 years (odds ratio [OR], 5.51; p = 0.012), history of lung cancer (OR, 6.44; p =<br />

0.006), initial size ≥ 8 mm (OR, 5.74; p = 0.008), presence of a solid component<br />

(OR, 16.58; p = 0.009), and an air bronchogram (OR, 5.83; p = 0.015) were<br />

independent risk factors for subsequent GGN growth.Between May 2003 and<br />

June 2015, 453 GGNs (438 pure GGNs and 15 part-solid GGNs) were found in 218<br />

patients. Of the 218 patients, 14 patients had 15 GGNs showing subsequent<br />

growth after the initial 3 years during the median follow-up period of 6.4<br />

years. For the person-based analysis, frequency of subsequent growth of<br />

GGNs that had been stable during initial 3 years was 6.7% (14/218). For the<br />

nodule-based analysis, the frequency was 3.3% (15/453). In a multivariate<br />

analysis, age ≥ 65 years (odds ratio [OR], 5.51; p = 0.012), history of lung cancer<br />

(OR, 6.44; p = 0.006), initial size ≥ 8 mm (OR, 5.74; p = 0.008), presence of a solid<br />

component (OR, 16.58; p = 0.009), and an air bronchogram (OR, 5.83; p = 0.015)<br />

were independent risk factors for subsequent GGN growth. Conclusion: For<br />

the individuals with GGNs having risk factors described above, the longer<br />

follow-up period is required to confirm subsequent GGN growth.<br />

Keywords: ground glass nodule, follow-up, growth, computed tomograpy<br />

Copyright © 2016 by the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer<br />

S175

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