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Regional Disparities and Efficient Transport Policies 343<br />

various congestion and market-crowding effects put a brake on the agglomeration<br />

process, and thus Krugman’s prediction is reversed. The difference<br />

in results is easy to understand. Commuting and housing costs rise when<br />

consumers join the larger region/city, which strengthens the dispersion force.<br />

Simultaneously, lowering transport costs facilitates interregional trade. By<br />

combining these two forces, we see why dispersion arises. In other words,<br />

land use appears to be a major dispersion force in the making of the spaceeconomy.<br />

6 By neglecting the fact that the agglomeration of activities typically<br />

materializes in the form of cities where competition for land acts as a strong<br />

dispersion force, the core–periphery model remains in the tradition of trade theory.<br />

Therefore, conclusions drawn from this model are, at best, applicable only<br />

to very large areas. 7<br />

The econometric analysis undertaken by Crozet (2004), together with the<br />

observations made in Section 8.2, suggests that the low mobility of European<br />

workers makes the emergence of a Krugman-like core–periphery structure<br />

within the EU very unlikely. Therefore, moving beyond the Krugman model in<br />

search of alternative explanations appears to be warranted in order to understand<br />

the emergence of large industrial regions in economies characterized by<br />

a low spatial mobility of labour – such as the EU. A second shortcoming of the<br />

core-periphery model is that it ignores the importance of intermediate goods.<br />

Yet the demand for consumer goods does not account for a very large fraction of<br />

firms’ sales, often being overshadowed by the demand for intermediate goods. 8<br />

8.3.4 Input–Output Linkages and the Bell-Shaped Curve of Spatial<br />

Development<br />

The agglomeration of economic activities also arises in contexts in which<br />

labour mobility is very low, as in most European countries. This underscores the<br />

need for alternative explanations of industrial agglomeration. One strong contender<br />

is the presence of input–output linkages between firms: the output of one<br />

firm can be an input for another, and vice versa. In this case, the entry of a new<br />

firm in a region not only increases the intensity of competition between similar<br />

firms; it also increases the market of upstream firm-suppliers and decreases the<br />

costs of downstream firm-customers. This is the starting point of Krugman and<br />

Venables (1995).<br />

Their idea is beautifully simple and suggestive: the agglomeration of the final<br />

sector in a particular region occurs because of the concentration of the intermediate<br />

industry in the same region, and conversely. Indeed, when firms belonging<br />

to the final sector are concentrated in a single region, the local demand for<br />

intermediate inputs is very high, making this region very attractive to firms producing<br />

these intermediate goods. Conversely, because intermediate goods are<br />

made available at lower prices in the core region, firms producing final goods

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