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Innovation and Growth: The Schumpeterian Perspective 43<br />

The intuition is simply that when the rate of job destruction is small, then<br />

innovation is the main source of job destruction and job destruction is immediate,<br />

whereas job creation happens later due to the labour market frictions.<br />

Prediction 17 When the rate of exogenous job destruction is high, then the<br />

relationship is negative growth and unemployment: in this case the job creation<br />

effect of innovation-led growth on unemployment dominates the job destruction<br />

effect.<br />

This framework is used by Aghion et al. (2015b) to analyse the relationship<br />

between innovation-led growth and well-being. On the one hand, more creative<br />

destruction implies more job destruction, which should reduce well-being<br />

of currently employed workers. On the other hand, more creative destruction<br />

implies both more new job creation and a higher growth rate, both of which<br />

should be welfare-enhancing.<br />

1.4 Enhancing Productivity Growth in Advanced Countries<br />

1.4.1 Pillars of Innovation-Led Growth<br />

In the previous section we explained why institutions and policies to enhance<br />

productivity growth should differ between countries at the world technology<br />

frontier and countries that are farther behind the frontier. In particular we saw<br />

that competition is more growth enhancing in sectors or countries that are closer<br />

to the technological frontier. Similarly, Aghion et al. (2005b) show that more<br />

flexible labour markets (which facilitate the process of creative destruction)<br />

foster greater productivity growth in more advanced countries.<br />

A third lever of productivity growth in advanced countries is graduate education:<br />

indeed frontier innovation requires frontier researchers and therefore<br />

good universities and research centres, whereas good undergraduate education<br />

is sufficient for imitation. Figure 1.2, drawn from Aghion et al. (2009c). Shows<br />

that research education enhances productivity growth more in more frontier<br />

US states, that is, in states with a higher per capita GDP (California, Massachusetts,<br />

…): these are states where a higher fraction of firms are ‘frontierfirms’,<br />

that is, firms with levels of productivity that are close to the best practice<br />

in the corresponding sector. On the other hand, two-year college education<br />

is what enhances productivity growth more in less advanced states (Alabama,<br />

Mississippi, …): in those states, imitation (i.e., catch-up growth) is the main<br />

source of technological progress, and good undergraduate education enhances<br />

imitation. The same is true across countries: higher (and especially graduate)<br />

education enhances productivity growth more in countries with higher per<br />

capita GDP (see Vandenbussche et al., 2006).

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