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“Key Informant Survey” of Production, Value, Losses and ... - DfID

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Table IV.C.1. Fruit infestation assessment methods scored by criteria <strong>of</strong> advantage<br />

(1=low; 2=intermediate; 3=high).<br />

Criterion Sample Sample Farmer<br />

inspection larva harvest<br />

rearing estimate<br />

Sample size 1 1 3<br />

Proximity to harvest 1 1 3<br />

Objectivity 2 3 1<br />

Species identification 0 3 0<br />

Robustness 2 1 3<br />

Results<br />

Throughout, data are summarised as unadjusted means <strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard deviations (S.D.); statistical<br />

analysis was generally by related t test or analysis <strong>of</strong> variance (ANOVA), after data normalisation by the arcsine<br />

transformation in the case <strong>of</strong> data as frequencies or percentages (Sokal <strong>and</strong> Rohlf, 1995).<br />

Table IV.C.2 gives infestation levels in unprotected plots, including some where no experimental results<br />

were obtained <strong>and</strong> are not discussed below, together with the overall estimates <strong>of</strong> Stonehouse et al. (1998), with<br />

which they seem to be in overall broad agreement. No parasitoid was found in any fruit or trap. Trimedlure traps<br />

deployed near Islamabad airport <strong>and</strong> the main road to the NWFP <strong>and</strong> Khyber Pass caught no Ceratitis capitata<br />

or other insect.<br />

Table IV.C.2. Mean percentage infestation <strong>of</strong> fruit by flies in various zones (by pupal emergence unless<br />

specified) in the absence <strong>of</strong> controls. Species were unknown where larvae emerged but not adults. Also included<br />

(as “<strong>Survey”</strong>) are the comparable overall Pakistan loss estimates by Stonehouse et al. (1998).<br />

Crop Location Year Species Infestation (%)<br />

Melon DI Khan 1999 Bactrocera cucurbitae 50<br />

Melon RY Khan 1999 Bactrocera cucurbitae 23<br />

Melon Faisalabad 1999 None 0<br />

Melon Kulachi 1999 Bactrocera cucurbitae 1 37 2<br />

Melon Survey Several All 35<br />

Guava (summer) DI Khan 1998 Bactrocera zonata 80<br />

Guava (summer) RY Khan 1998 Bactrocera zonata 11<br />

Guava (summer) Mardan 1998 Bactrocera zonata 14<br />

Guava (winter 3 ) RY Khan 1998 None 0<br />

Guava (overall 4 ) Survey Several All 35<br />

Jujube DI Khan 1998 Unknown 3<br />

Jujube DI Khan 1999 Carpomyia vesuviana 45<br />

Jujube Faisalabad 1999 None 0<br />

Jujube Survey Several All 15<br />

Mango RY Khan 1999 Bactrocera zonata 9<br />

Mango Survey Several All 15<br />

Persimmon Mardan 1998 Bactrocera zonata 11<br />

Persimmon Survey Several All 40<br />

Luffa RY Khan 1998 Unknown >15<br />

Plum Peshawar 1999 Bactrocera dorsalis 1 23 5<br />

Plum Peshawar Survey All 35<br />

1 Identification inferred from trap catches although no adults were reared.<br />

2 Difference in mean yield weight between treated <strong>and</strong> untreated plots (Table IV.C.5, below) - not a strict record <strong>of</strong> infestation.<br />

3 Result from a single winter fruit sample to check the common view that the winter guava crop is largely unattacked.<br />

4 Stonehouse et al. (1998) did not distinguish summer <strong>and</strong> winter guava crops.<br />

5 Figure from another study in this project (Hai, 2001); fruit were not collected, but identified as attacked on the tree.<br />

Sequential samples taken after the development <strong>of</strong> ripe fruit allowed the assessment <strong>of</strong> the development<br />

<strong>of</strong> infestation rates through the harvesting period, <strong>and</strong> the observation <strong>of</strong> how infestation, as the average <strong>of</strong><br />

treated <strong>and</strong> untreated plots, may build up. In two melon plots, when ripening fruit frequency was 46 <strong>and</strong> 52% <strong>of</strong><br />

final, infestation was 76% <strong>and</strong> 186% <strong>of</strong> final. In four guava plots, when ripening fruit frequency was between 27<br />

<strong>and</strong> 73% <strong>of</strong> final, infestation was between 12% <strong>and</strong> 1467% <strong>of</strong> final. In two jujube plots, when ripeness was 62 <strong>and</strong><br />

68% <strong>of</strong> final, infestation was 50 <strong>and</strong> 113% <strong>of</strong> final. In one mango field, when ripeness was 83% <strong>of</strong> final, infestation<br />

was 50% <strong>of</strong> final. These data were inadequate for statistical analysis, but are sufficient to show that levels <strong>of</strong><br />

65

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