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“Key Informant Survey” of Production, Value, Losses and ... - DfID

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Infestation<br />

(%)<br />

ANOVA F<br />

Tree Mean 3.9 16.1 30.6 44.4<br />

S.D. ±4.2 ±25.1 ±24.3 ±36.6<br />

Ground Mean 8.9 17.8 33.9 41.7<br />

S.D. ±10.2 ±16.8 ±24.3 ±24.7<br />

Treatments 81.6134[1,2]* 0.3281[1,2]ns<br />

Locations 21.4615[1,2]* 7.2344[1,2]ns<br />

Sites 364.8379[2,2]** 7.5350[2,2]***<br />

Table IV.C.12. Infestation <strong>of</strong> mango fruit from four sites, as in Table IV.C.10. No interactions were significant.<br />

The inferred reduction in infestation by MAT was 100%.<br />

Indicator: Pupae Marks<br />

Output Protection: MAT None MAT None<br />

Infestation Tree Mean 0.0 10.0 5.0 17.5<br />

(%)<br />

S.D. ±0.0 ±7.2 ±1.9 ±11.0<br />

Ground Mean 4.2 24.2 68.3 73.3<br />

S.D. ±1.7 ±6.3 ±6.4 ±9.4<br />

ANOVA F Treatments 211.0847[1,3]*** 36.9901[1,3]**<br />

Locations 92.1408[1,3]** 1047.3419[1,3]***<br />

Sites 6.9911[3,3]ns 15.2315[3,3]*<br />

Estimates <strong>of</strong> fruit infestation at harvest (method iii, above) were adequate for analysis only in melons<br />

<strong>and</strong> mangoes. The results are given in Table IV.C.13.<br />

Table IV.C.13. Farmer estimates <strong>of</strong> percentage loss frequencies among harvests on four mango farms <strong>and</strong> five<br />

melon farms. Spoiled mangoes were identified as “fly-attacked”, melons as“fly-attacked” <strong>and</strong> “spoiled but not<br />

visibly fly-attacked”. The inferred reduction in all spoiled melons by BAT was 63.6%; that by MAT in attacked<br />

mangoes was 96%.<br />

Fruit: Mango Melon<br />

Symptom: Attacked Attacked Spoiled<br />

Protection MAT None BAT None BAT None<br />

Mean (%) 0.3 8.9 0.7 5.3 2.9 4.9<br />

S.D. ±0.1 ±5.0 ±0.4 ±1.8 ±1.5 ±2.4<br />

Related t 5.0533[3]* 6.2755[4]** 6.0701[4]**<br />

Conclusions<br />

The methodology developed was able to distinguish many important variables. Visible marks were<br />

recorded on sampled fruits, as a back-up to the more accurate but less robust (in case <strong>of</strong> larval mortality before<br />

emergence) record <strong>of</strong> emerged pupae. Visible mark records were inferior to pupal rearing in the detection <strong>of</strong><br />

infestation differences, but provided some meaningful information, <strong>and</strong> may be recommended as a back-up when<br />

there is a risk <strong>of</strong> loss <strong>of</strong> pupal emergence data. Estimates <strong>of</strong> fruit numbers on trees <strong>and</strong> on the ground were able to<br />

distinguish different levels <strong>of</strong> production.<br />

The number <strong>of</strong> sites used was only barely adequate. The greater clarity <strong>of</strong> conclusions from guava <strong>and</strong><br />

melon (on five sites) than from mango <strong>and</strong> jujube (on respectively four <strong>and</strong> three) strongly suggests that<br />

replication levels <strong>of</strong> at least six plots should be sought in studies <strong>of</strong> this sort.<br />

Flies were not clustered among trees or bushes within fields, but were clustered among fruit, although<br />

the number <strong>of</strong> larvae per infested fruit was not constant, <strong>and</strong> not significantly less variable than the infestation<br />

rate.<br />

<strong>Losses</strong> in general were most apparent as infestation levels on trees. There was evidence, however, that<br />

fruit with heavier fly attack were likely to be less numerous, possibly because more likely to fall from the tree.<br />

This would make loss estimates derived from infestation rates alone too low, by removing from the sample some<br />

fruit which are attacked.<br />

Bait sprays were effective in controlling fruit flies on guava, jujube <strong>and</strong> melon, <strong>and</strong> are preferable to<br />

cover sprays for reasons <strong>of</strong> cost, safety <strong>and</strong> environmental contamination. All farmers who hosted trials made<br />

favourable comments about BAT regarding its effectiveness <strong>and</strong> its low dem<strong>and</strong>s for water <strong>and</strong> work.<br />

MAT was able effectively to control fruit flies in mangoes. However, losses may anyway sometimes be<br />

too low to justify controls. Both BAT <strong>and</strong> MAT attained control even on small <strong>and</strong> medium-sized farm plots (0.2<br />

to 2.0ha).<br />

69

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