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Filing at a Glance General Information - Delaware Insurance ...

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Fiscal Accident<br />

Attachment III<br />

Exhibit 4.4<br />

Year Ending 12/31 15 Months 27 Months 39 Months 51 Months 63 Months 75 Months 87 Months 99 Months 111 Months 123 Months‡<br />

1997 443,461 443,461<br />

1998 350,401 350,401 350,401<br />

1999 406,732 406,732 406,732 406,732<br />

2000 219,959 219,959 219,959 219,959 219,959<br />

2001 159,014 159,014 160,095 160,095 160,095 160,095<br />

2002 90,446 93,081 93,081 93,081 93,081 93,081<br />

2003 26,044 26,044 26,044 26,044 26,044 26,044<br />

2004 12,421 22,421 22,421 19,386 19,386 19,386<br />

2005 5,930 5,734 5,734 5,734 5,734 5,734<br />

2006 32,688 11,188 11,188 11,188 11,188<br />

2007 7,632 7,632 7,632 7,632<br />

2008 2,196 1,946 1,946<br />

2009 28,052 31,466<br />

2010 20,895<br />

Development 15 to 27 27 to 39 39 to 51 51 to 63 63 to 75 75 to 87 87 to 99 99 to 111 111 to 123<br />

4th Prior 0.967 1.805 1.000 1.029 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

3rd Prior 0.342 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.007 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

2nd Prior 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.865 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

1st Prior 0.886 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

L<strong>at</strong>est 1.122 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

5 Year Excluding High/Low Outliers: 0.951 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

Selected: 0.951 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

Selected Methodology<br />

Link R<strong>at</strong>io Method<br />

Loss Development Period ( months ): 15 - 123 27 - 123 39 - 123 51 - 123 63 - 123<br />

Loss Development Factor: 0.951 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

†Includes ALAE<br />

‡Includes supplemental reserves in addition to case reserves<br />

Allst<strong>at</strong>e Indemnity Company<br />

Year Inc. Loss Factor to Ultim<strong>at</strong>e<br />

Ultim<strong>at</strong>e Loss &<br />

ALAE<br />

2008 $1,946 1.000 1,946<br />

2009 $31,466 1.000 31,466<br />

2010 $20,895 0.951 19,871<br />

Allst<strong>at</strong>e Indemnity Company<br />

Priv<strong>at</strong>e Passenger Auto<br />

<strong>Delaware</strong><br />

Calcul<strong>at</strong>ion of Loss Development Factors<br />

Uninsured / Underinsured Motorist<br />

Incurred Losses †<br />

Link R<strong>at</strong>ios

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