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Filing at a Glance General Information - Delaware Insurance ...

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Allst<strong>at</strong>e Indemnity<br />

Allst<strong>at</strong>e Indemnity Company<br />

Priv<strong>at</strong>e Passenger Auto<br />

<strong>Delaware</strong><br />

Loss Trends - Severity<br />

Uninsured / Underinsured Motorist<br />

Exponential Curve of Best Fit<br />

Attachment III<br />

Exhibit 8.16<br />

Year Ending<br />

Actual Paid<br />

Severity Annual Change 24 pt. 12 pt. 6 pt.<br />

06/05 $575.00 -73.93 % $979.00<br />

09/05 781.00 -67.23 980.00<br />

12/05 846.00 -39.87 981.00<br />

03/06 1,615.00 695.57 981.00<br />

06/06 1,732.00 201.22 982.00<br />

09/06 1,550.00 98.46 982.00<br />

12/06 1,573.00 85.93 983.00<br />

03/07 454.00 -71.89 983.00<br />

06/07 402.00 -76.79 984.00<br />

09/07 381.00 -75.42 984.00<br />

12/07 1,134.00 -27.91 985.00<br />

03/08 1,503.00 231.06 986.00<br />

06/08 3,191.00 693.78 986.00 $1,585.00<br />

09/08 2,563.00 572.70 987.00 1,476.00<br />

12/08 818.00 -27.87 987.00 1,375.00<br />

03/09 709.00 -52.83 988.00 1,281.00<br />

06/09 809.00 -74.65 988.00 1,193.00<br />

09/09 921.00 -64.07 989.00 1,111.00<br />

12/09 1,002.00 22.49 990.00 1,035.00 $957.00<br />

03/10 960.00 35.40 990.00 964.00 947.00<br />

06/10 967.00 19.53 991.00 898.00 937.00<br />

09/10 758.00 -17.70 991.00 836.00 927.00<br />

12/10 939.00 -6.29 992.00 779.00 917.00<br />

03/11 989.00 3.02 992.00 726.00 907.00<br />

Regression 24 pt. 12 pt.<br />

Avg Annual Percent Change Based on Best Fit: 0.23%<br />

-24.72%<br />

6 pt.<br />

-4.20%

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