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Filing at a Glance General Information - Delaware Insurance ...

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Fiscal Accident<br />

Attachment III<br />

Exhibit 4.5<br />

Year Ending 12/31 15 Months 27 Months 39 Months 51 Months 63 Months 75 Months 87 Months 99 Months 111 Months 123 Months<br />

1997 1,071,407 1,071,407<br />

1998 1,136,501 1,136,501 1,136,501<br />

1999 1,169,574 1,169,819 1,170,139 1,168,952<br />

2000 903,094 902,729 902,794 902,239 901,699<br />

2001 668,675 668,675 668,675 668,675 668,675 668,675<br />

2002 527,108 527,108 527,108 527,108 527,108 527,108<br />

2003 341,608 341,608 341,608 341,608 341,608 341,608<br />

2004 191,029 191,104 189,656 189,656 189,656 189,656<br />

2005 136,519 118,709 118,709 118,709 118,709 118,709<br />

2006 86,375 86,375 86,378 86,378 86,378<br />

2007 76,177 75,576 75,576 75,576<br />

2008 60,637 55,973 56,622<br />

2009 133,785 135,930<br />

2010 190,719<br />

Development 15 to 27 27 to 39 39 to 51 51 to 63 63 to 75 75 to 87 87 to 99 99 to 111 111 to 123<br />

4th Prior 0.870 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

3rd Prior 1.000 1.000 0.992 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

2nd Prior 0.992 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.999 0.999<br />

1st Prior 0.923 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.999<br />

L<strong>at</strong>est 1.016 1.012 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

5 Year Excluding High/Low Outliers: 0.972 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

Selected: 0.972 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

Selected Methodology<br />

Loss Development Period ( months ): 15 - 123 27 - 123 39 - 123 51 - 123 63 - 123<br />

Loss Development Factor: 0.972 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000<br />

†Includes ALAE<br />

Link R<strong>at</strong>io Method<br />

Allst<strong>at</strong>e Indemnity Company<br />

Year Paid Loss Factor to Ultim<strong>at</strong>e<br />

Ultim<strong>at</strong>e Loss &<br />

ALAE<br />

2008 $56,622 1.000 56,622<br />

2009 $135,930 1.000 135,930<br />

2010 $190,719 0.972 185,379<br />

Allst<strong>at</strong>e Indemnity Company<br />

Priv<strong>at</strong>e Passenger Auto<br />

<strong>Delaware</strong><br />

Calcul<strong>at</strong>ion of Loss Development Factors<br />

Collision<br />

Paid Losses †<br />

Link R<strong>at</strong>ios

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