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Filing at a Glance General Information - Delaware Insurance ...

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Allst<strong>at</strong>e Indemnity<br />

Allst<strong>at</strong>e Indemnity Company<br />

Priv<strong>at</strong>e Passenger Auto<br />

<strong>Delaware</strong><br />

Loss Trends - Severity<br />

Bodily Injury<br />

Exponential Curve of Best Fit<br />

Attachment III<br />

Exhibit 8.13<br />

Year Ending<br />

Actual Paid<br />

Severity Annual Change 24 pt. 12 pt. 6 pt.<br />

06/05 $8,639.00 -25.71 % $7,830.00<br />

09/05 6,336.00 -47.93 7,723.00<br />

12/05 7,007.00 -28.46 7,617.00<br />

03/06 7,388.00 -16.39 7,513.00<br />

06/06 6,745.00 -21.92 7,411.00<br />

09/06 8,836.00 39.46 7,310.00<br />

12/06 9,676.00 38.09 7,210.00<br />

03/07 11,239.00 52.13 7,112.00<br />

06/07 8,734.00 29.49 7,015.00<br />

09/07 8,355.00 -5.44 6,919.00<br />

12/07 5,375.00 -44.45 6,824.00<br />

03/08 4,737.00 -57.85 6,731.00<br />

06/08 5,587.00 -36.03 6,639.00 $5,107.00<br />

09/08 5,295.00 -36.62 6,549.00 5,246.00<br />

12/08 6,377.00 18.64 6,459.00 5,389.00<br />

03/09 5,002.00 5.59 6,371.00 5,536.00<br />

06/09 4,077.00 -27.03 6,284.00 5,688.00<br />

09/09 6,265.00 18.32 6,199.00 5,843.00<br />

12/09 5,897.00 -7.53 6,114.00 6,002.00 $6,001.00<br />

03/10 6,197.00 † 23.89 6,030.00 6,166.00 6,205.00<br />

06/10 7,305.00 † 79.18 5,948.00 6,335.00 6,417.00<br />

09/10 5,970.00 † -4.71 5,867.00 6,507.00 6,636.00<br />

12/10 6,301.00 † 6.85 5,787.00 6,685.00 6,862.00<br />

03/11 7,687.00 † 24.04 5,708.00 6,868.00 7,096.00<br />

Regression 24 pt. 12 pt.<br />

Avg Annual Percent Change Based on Best Fit: -5.35%<br />

11.38%<br />

†Adjusted Values<br />

6 pt.<br />

14.35%

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