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Filing at a Glance General Information - Delaware Insurance ...

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Allst<strong>at</strong>e Indemnity<br />

Year Ending<br />

Allst<strong>at</strong>e Indemnity Company<br />

Priv<strong>at</strong>e Passenger Auto<br />

<strong>Delaware</strong><br />

Loss Trends - Frequency<br />

Collision<br />

Attachment III<br />

Exhibit 8.11<br />

Exponential Curve of Best Fit<br />

Actual Paid<br />

Frequency Annual Change 24 pt. 12 pt. 6 pt.<br />

06/05 8.6716 % -7.49 % 6.6165 %<br />

09/05 9.7882 16.47 6.7810<br />

12/05 10.2977 19.18 6.9496<br />

03/06 9.0678 3.83 7.1223<br />

06/06 10.1421 16.96 7.2994<br />

09/06 7.6143 -22.21 7.4808<br />

12/06 5.5369 -46.23 7.6668<br />

03/07 4.5330 -50.01 7.8574<br />

06/07 4.5218 -55.42 8.0527<br />

09/07 4.4438 -41.64 8.2529<br />

12/07 6.1060 10.28 8.4580<br />

03/08 7.1725 58.23 8.6683<br />

06/08 8.5182 88.38 8.8838 9.2277 %<br />

09/08 10.3504 132.92 9.1046 9.5308<br />

12/08 10.1973 67.00 9.3309 9.8438<br />

03/09 10.8798 51.69 9.5629 10.1671<br />

06/09 11.4518 34.44 9.8006 10.5011<br />

09/09 10.4442 0.91 10.0442 10.8460<br />

12/09 10.1749 -0.22 10.2939 11.2022 9.7405 %<br />

03/10 10.4198 † -4.23 10.5498 11.5701 10.5301<br />

06/10 10.1526 † -11.34 10.8121 11.9501 11.3837<br />

09/10 13.2365 † 26.74 11.0809 12.3426 12.3066<br />

12/10 13.5954 † 33.62 11.3563 12.7480 13.3042<br />

03/11 14.1950 † 36.23 11.6386 13.1667 14.3827<br />

Regression 24 pt. 12 pt. 6 pt.<br />

Avg Annual Percent Change Based on Best Fit: 10.32%<br />

13.80% 36.59%<br />

†Adjusted Values

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