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2009 Report to Government on National Research and

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envir<strong>on</strong>ment, all with the characteristics <strong>and</strong> behaviour of humans, other animals<br />

<strong>and</strong> plants taken <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be as they are in similar envir<strong>on</strong>ments <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>day. This is known<br />

as the “reference biosphere” approach (Health Protecti<strong>on</strong> Agency, <str<strong>on</strong>g>2009</str<strong>on</strong>g>). Typical<br />

safety case calculati<strong>on</strong>s employ several reference biospheres, each for a<br />

different climate state that could occur at the future at a GDF site. The states<br />

differ in aspects such as temperature <strong>and</strong> rainfall, <strong>and</strong>, for coastal sites, sea<br />

level.<br />

A.102 The models <strong>and</strong> data required for the reference biosphere approach largely exist.<br />

The models have been developed over many years using experimental <strong>and</strong><br />

observati<strong>on</strong>al data (for example, <strong>on</strong> the movement of radi<strong>on</strong>uclides routinely<br />

discharged <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> air <strong>and</strong> sea from nuclear facilities). Since the whole ‘calculati<strong>on</strong>al’<br />

approach is stylised, it is unnecessary <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> perform uncertainty analyses.<br />

A.103 The adopti<strong>on</strong> of the reference biosphere approach means that there is a limited<br />

requirement for biosphere R&D for geological disposal safety case purposes.<br />

This is not <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> say that such R&D is not needed for other purposes, or that the<br />

knowledge gained in other c<strong>on</strong>texts should not be used for GDF safety cases.<br />

There may also be a need for R&D <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> improve predicti<strong>on</strong>s of radi<strong>on</strong>uclide<br />

movement through the geosphere-biosphere interface (for example, movement<br />

from rocks <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> soils <strong>and</strong> sediments).<br />

CoRWM Document 2543, Oc<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>ber <str<strong>on</strong>g>2009</str<strong>on</strong>g> Page 125 of 151

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