INDUSTRIAL LAND IN A POST-INDUSTRIAL CITY District of ...

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District of Columbia Industrial Areas Study DC Office of Planning Prepared by Phillips Preiss Shapiro Associates, Inc. Table 2.5: Regional PDR Employment Impacts from Existing Output in the Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Industry in the District of Columbia - 29 - Multiplier PDR Job Impact Percent 3. Utilities* 0.0295 530 3.7% 4. Construction 0.0647 1,162 8.1% 5. Manufacturing 0.1518 2,727 19.0% 6. Wholesale trade 0.1428 2,566 17.9% 8. Transportation and warehousing* 0.4088 7,345 51.3% Total 14,331 100.0% * Includes government enterprises Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Input-output Multiplier System Phillips Preiss Shapiro Associates, Inc. The Professional, Scientific and Technical Services industry is projected to grow significantly within the region and the District in the near future. Employment projections prepared by the Department of Employment indicate a 21 percent increase in employment between 2002 and 2012. Assuming that sales increase linearly with employment (a reasonable assumption, as worker productivity in professional services does not tend to change significantly over time), sales (i.e. output) within this industry will increase by about $3.8 trillion over the same time period. The following table details the regional PDR increase of this growth. Table 2.6: Regional PDR Employment Impacts from Projected Growth in the Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Industry in the District of Columbia Multiplier PDR Job Impact Percent 3. Utilities* 0.0295 111 3.7% 4. Construction 0.0647 244 8.1% 5. Manufacturing 0.1518 573 19.0% 6. Wholesale trade 0.1428 539 17.9% 8. Transportation and warehousing* 0.4088 1,542 51.3% Total 3,009 100.0% Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Input-output Multiplier System Phillips Preiss Shapiro Associates, Inc.
District of Columbia Industrial Areas Study DC Office of Planning Prepared by Phillips Preiss Shapiro Associates, Inc. PDR impacts are but one portion of the total impacts of this growth. The following table shows the full regional multiplier impact on all industries (including the Professional, Scientific and Technical Services industry), PDR industries, and non-PDR industries outside of the Professional, Scientific and Technical Services industry. The table illustrates that a little less than half of the regional employment impacts associated with growth in the Professional, Scientific and Technical Services industry occur outside of the industry itself. Of these jobs, about 90 percent are non-PDR jobs, while 10 percent are PDR jobs. The implication is that when the Professional, Scientific and Technical Services industry expands, 48 percent of the direct and indirect employment impacts are due to backwards linkages to other industries and other indirect effects, and 10 percent of those impacts are felt within the four PDR industry groups. Table 2.7: Total, Non-PDR, and PDR Employment Impacts from Projected Growth in the Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Industry in the District of Columbia - 30 - Jobs Percent Total new jobs 61,116 100.0% New jobs within the industry 32,087 52.5% New jobs outside the industry 29,029 47.5% New non-PDR jobs outside the industry 26,020 89.6% Total new PDR jobs 3,009 10.4% Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Input-output Multiplier System Phillips Preiss Shapiro Associates, Inc. In summary, demand for PDR goods and services increases regionally as growth occurs in the core industries. Just the projected growth in one industry in the District will result in over 3,000 new PDR jobs regionally. This does not even count continued growth in these industries due to other factors such as population growth, growth in other economic sectors, and ‘export’ trade with customers outside of the region. The challenge for DC will be to capture those segments of this growth that can reasonable find space to succeed within the District. 2.1.3 IMPORTANCE OF A DC LOCATION The above analysis shows that PDR businesses collectively contribute significantly to employment in the District; that as a whole they can be expected to exhibit modest growth; and that they are linked with the District’s core industries. However, these facts do not reveal the true flavor of these linkages, and the importance of a DC location for key PDR users. Most PDR users are located in the District because of a particular relationship with local industries which form their customer base. Proximity provides them with a competitive advantage, whether its short delivery times, ease of face-to-face interaction, etc.
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