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ASEAN: Regional Trends in Economic Integration, Export ... - USITC

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productive <strong>in</strong> climates further from the equator have not yet proved susta<strong>in</strong>able. 11<br />

Consequently, only Indonesia and Malaysia are able to grow large numbers of oil palm<br />

trees—and they are do<strong>in</strong>g so on ever-larger numbers and sizes of plantations that are<br />

becom<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly efficient. 12<br />

Producers <strong>in</strong> both Indonesia and Malaysia strive to meet grow<strong>in</strong>g global demand for palm<br />

oil. 13 Although the oil palm tree was orig<strong>in</strong>ally brought to Southeast Asia from Africa, 14<br />

Indonesian palm oil production accounts for 46 percent of global production, and<br />

Malaysian production accounts for 41 percent (table 8.1). Thailand is a distant third, with<br />

3 percent, while there are smaller production locations <strong>in</strong> other countries situated around<br />

the equator, such as Nigeria, Colombia, and Ghana. 15 Because of their size, 16 as well as<br />

their importance to consumers worldwide desir<strong>in</strong>g affordable vegetable oil, the palm oil<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustries of Indonesia and Malaysia cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be the most competitive suppliers<br />

globally and, consequently, attract the largest amounts of <strong>in</strong>tra-<strong>ASEAN</strong> and foreign direct<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> palm oil. 17<br />

TABLE 8.1 Palm oil: Production, by <strong>ASEAN</strong> country and market<strong>in</strong>g year (1,000 MT)<br />

Country 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 (est.)<br />

Indonesia 15,560 16,600 18,000 20,500 21,500<br />

Malaysia 15,485 15,290 17,567 17,259 18,500<br />

Thailand 784 1,170 1,050 1,200 1,300<br />

Philipp<strong>in</strong>es 61 60 65 70 70<br />

Source: USDA, FAS, Production, Supply and Distribution database (accessed May 4, 2010).<br />

Note: The market<strong>in</strong>g year for Indonesia and Malaysia is October to September; for the Philipp<strong>in</strong>es<br />

and Thailand, it is January to December.<br />

<strong>ASEAN</strong> countries produce approximately 90 percent of the global palm oil supply, but<br />

represent less than 9 percent of the world’s population. Accord<strong>in</strong>gly, most <strong>ASEAN</strong> palm<br />

oil exports (95 percent <strong>in</strong> 2008) go to non-<strong>ASEAN</strong> markets. The sheer size of Indonesian<br />

and Malaysian production means that their competition <strong>in</strong> the global market comes only<br />

from other vegetable oils. However, much of this competition comes from suppliers far<br />

from <strong>ASEAN</strong>, <strong>in</strong> places where other vegetable oils have a long-stand<strong>in</strong>g commercial<br />

presence or cultivation and market<strong>in</strong>g advantages. 18 Nevertheless, <strong>in</strong> <strong>ASEAN</strong> markets<br />

and markets throughout Asia, palm oil’s low price and abundant supply, as well as its<br />

nearby production location, make it the vegetable oil of choice. 19<br />

11 <strong>USITC</strong>, hear<strong>in</strong>g transcript, February 3, 2010, 42 (testimony of Rosidah Radzian, Embassy of Malaysia).<br />

12 One <strong>in</strong>dustry representative estimated that 80 percent of oil palm plantation land <strong>in</strong> Indonesia and<br />

Malaysia is owned by large companies. Industry representative, <strong>in</strong>terview by <strong>USITC</strong> staff, Bangkok,<br />

Thailand, March 17, 2010.<br />

13 Industry representatives, <strong>in</strong>terview by <strong>USITC</strong> staff, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, March 12, 2010.<br />

14 Basiron, “Palm Oil Production through Susta<strong>in</strong>able Plantations,” 290.<br />

15 One analysis led to the conclusion that it is unlikely that any other palm oil–produc<strong>in</strong>g country will<br />

challenge the supplier roles of Indonesia and Malaysia. BACP, “Market Transformation Strategy for Palm<br />

Oil,” 16–17.<br />

16 <strong>USITC</strong>, hear<strong>in</strong>g transcript, February 3, 2010, 6–7 (testimony of Rosidah Radzian, Embassy of<br />

Malaysia); Basiron, “Palm Oil Production through Susta<strong>in</strong>able Plantations,” 290; Law, “Can Palm Oil Help<br />

Indonesia’s Poor?”<br />

17 Industry representatives, <strong>in</strong>terview by <strong>USITC</strong> staff, Jakarta, Indonesia, March 2, 2010; <strong>in</strong>dustry<br />

representative, <strong>in</strong>terview by <strong>USITC</strong> staff, S<strong>in</strong>gapore, March 5, 2010.<br />

18 For example, <strong>in</strong> the United States, soybean oil and canola oil dom<strong>in</strong>ate the U.S. market because<br />

soybeans are grown throughout the United States, provid<strong>in</strong>g nearby, ready markets, and Canada produces<br />

large amounts of rapeseed, from which canola oil is produced, and has enlarged its share of the U.S. market<br />

by capitaliz<strong>in</strong>g on canola oil’s health benefits and ready supply.<br />

19 See <strong>in</strong>dustry representatives, <strong>in</strong>terview by <strong>USITC</strong> staff, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, March 12, 2010.<br />

8-4

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