ASEAN: Regional Trends in Economic Integration, Export ... - USITC
ASEAN: Regional Trends in Economic Integration, Export ... - USITC
ASEAN: Regional Trends in Economic Integration, Export ... - USITC
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
Participat<strong>in</strong>g countries also ga<strong>in</strong> additional long-term economic benefits through<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong>vestment and harmonization of economic and monetary policies.<br />
Studies of the economic <strong>in</strong>tegration process have generally focused on <strong>in</strong>traregional trade<br />
and <strong>in</strong>vestment flows, macroeconomic <strong>in</strong>terdependence, and strong regional economic<br />
growth as <strong>in</strong>dicators of <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly <strong>in</strong>tegrated economies. 6 The <strong>USITC</strong>, <strong>in</strong> an earlier<br />
study of economic <strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>in</strong> East Asia, exam<strong>in</strong>ed how economic policies and<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment patterns <strong>in</strong> the region contributed to the process of merg<strong>in</strong>g the markets for<br />
goods, services, capital, and labor <strong>in</strong> East Asia. 7 The study highlighted the gradual<br />
convergence of economic policies, reductions <strong>in</strong> trade barriers, and improvements <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure and <strong>in</strong>tellectual property protection as factors facilitat<strong>in</strong>g economic<br />
<strong>in</strong>tegration among the regional economies.<br />
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has developed a number of specific quantitative<br />
<strong>in</strong>dicators to gauge economic <strong>in</strong>tegration. These <strong>in</strong>dicators <strong>in</strong>clude growth <strong>in</strong> regional<br />
gross domestic product (GDP) among member economies and changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>come gaps,<br />
<strong>in</strong>traregional trade and <strong>in</strong>vestment shares, production correlation (as a measure of<br />
macroeconomic l<strong>in</strong>kages), correlation of equity prices, and <strong>in</strong>terregional tourism flows. 8<br />
This report calculates two measures that are commonly used to show trends <strong>in</strong> regional<br />
<strong>in</strong>terdependence. 9 The <strong>in</strong>traregional trade share shows a region’s trade with itself as a<br />
share of the region’s total trade, which <strong>in</strong> this case is the share of <strong>ASEAN</strong>’s total trade<br />
that is <strong>in</strong>tra-<strong>ASEAN</strong>. The other measure is the <strong>in</strong>traregional trade <strong>in</strong>tensity, which shows<br />
the <strong>in</strong>tensity with which a region trades with itself compared with its trade with the<br />
world. 10 It is calculated by divid<strong>in</strong>g the share of <strong>in</strong>traregional trade <strong>in</strong> its overall trade by<br />
the share of its trade <strong>in</strong> world trade. If the <strong>in</strong>dex measures 1, there is no regional bias <strong>in</strong><br />
trade; if it is more than 1, the region’s share of trade with itself is greater than would be<br />
expected given its importance <strong>in</strong> world trade. An <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>dex over time <strong>in</strong>dicates<br />
that regional trade is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g more rapidly than the region’s share <strong>in</strong> global trade.<br />
Unlike the <strong>in</strong>traregional trade share <strong>in</strong>dicator, trade <strong>in</strong>tensity does not suffer from a size<br />
bias; that is, it does not rise simply because the region’s relative weight <strong>in</strong> the world<br />
economy is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
<strong>Export</strong> Competitiveness<br />
USTR requested that the <strong>USITC</strong> analyze the export competitiveness of the profiled<br />
<strong>in</strong>dustries <strong>in</strong> <strong>ASEAN</strong> member countries. In referr<strong>in</strong>g to competitiveness as a concept,<br />
theorists dist<strong>in</strong>guish between “competitiveness” at the national level (competitive<br />
6 Kim, Lee, and Park, “The Ties that B<strong>in</strong>d Asia, Europe, and the United States,” February 2010, 1. Note<br />
that economic growth among regional economies is considered an important <strong>in</strong>dicator of regional <strong>in</strong>tegration<br />
due to the association between trade openness and growth.<br />
7 <strong>USITC</strong>, East Asia, 1993. The countries <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> this <strong>in</strong>vestigation were S<strong>in</strong>gapore, Ch<strong>in</strong>a, South<br />
Korea, the Philipp<strong>in</strong>es, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand. The discussion of economic<br />
<strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>in</strong> this <strong>in</strong>vestigation was summarized <strong>in</strong> Pierson, “East Asia: <strong>Regional</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Integration</strong> and<br />
Implications for the United States,” 1994, 1168–85.<br />
8 Capannelli, Lee, and Petri, Develop<strong>in</strong>g Indicators for <strong>Regional</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Integration</strong> and Cooperation,<br />
September 2009, 2.<br />
9 For example, see Capannelli, Lee, and Petri, “Develop<strong>in</strong>g Indicators for <strong>Regional</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Integration</strong><br />
and Cooperation,” September 2009, 5; Plummer and Chia, “Assess<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>Economic</strong>s of the <strong>ASEAN</strong><br />
<strong>Economic</strong> Community: Introduction,” 2009, 8; and ADB, Emerg<strong>in</strong>g Asian <strong>Regional</strong>ism, 2008, 40–41.<br />
10 For more <strong>in</strong>formation about <strong>in</strong>traregional trade <strong>in</strong>tensities, see ESCAP, “Trade Statistics <strong>in</strong><br />
Policymak<strong>in</strong>g,” n.d., 52–53; Capannelli, Lee, and Petri, “Develop<strong>in</strong>g Indicators for <strong>Regional</strong> <strong>Economic</strong><br />
<strong>Integration</strong> and Cooperation,” September 2009, 6.<br />
1-3