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BSEP116B Biodiversity in the Baltic Sea - Helcom

BSEP116B Biodiversity in the Baltic Sea - Helcom

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ciale), <strong>the</strong> red alga Delesseria sangu<strong>in</strong>ea, and <strong>the</strong><br />

green alga Ulva lactuca.<br />

Many littoral <strong>in</strong>vertebrate species <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />

<strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong>, liv<strong>in</strong>g among macroalgae and vascular<br />

plants or <strong>in</strong> soft bottoms, have <strong>the</strong>ir lowest sal<strong>in</strong>ity<br />

limits close to 4–6 psu (e.g., <strong>the</strong> shrimp Crangon<br />

crangon, <strong>the</strong> isopod Ido<strong>the</strong>a baltica and <strong>the</strong><br />

soft-shelled clam Mya arenaria). Similarly, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

southwestern <strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong>, many oceanic species may<br />

withdraw from <strong>the</strong> <strong>Baltic</strong> side of <strong>the</strong> Danish Straits.<br />

Such <strong>in</strong>vertebrates may <strong>in</strong>clude, for example, <strong>the</strong><br />

crabs Carc<strong>in</strong>us maenas and Hyas araneus, and <strong>the</strong><br />

Littor<strong>in</strong>a snails.<br />

Spawn<strong>in</strong>g of <strong>the</strong> most important commercial fish<br />

species <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong>, namely cod, is dependent<br />

on a sal<strong>in</strong>ity higher than 11 psu. Thus, reduced<br />

sal<strong>in</strong>ity toge<strong>the</strong>r with potentially <strong>in</strong>creased hypoxia<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong> would dim<strong>in</strong>ish <strong>the</strong> volume of <strong>the</strong><br />

cod spawn<strong>in</strong>g habitat (Nielsen & Kvaavik 2007).<br />

Because many of <strong>the</strong> above-mentioned species<br />

are key species <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong> ecosystem, <strong>the</strong><br />

cascad<strong>in</strong>g impacts will most likely resonate <strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

species <strong>in</strong> both <strong>the</strong> mar<strong>in</strong>e ecosystem as well as<br />

terrestrial coastal communities.<br />

Secondary effects of decreased sal<strong>in</strong>ity are also<br />

possible. Changes <strong>in</strong> environmental conditions<br />

may give opportunities for non-native species to<br />

<strong>in</strong>vade <strong>the</strong> ecosystem. Moreover, mar<strong>in</strong>e species<br />

liv<strong>in</strong>g at <strong>the</strong>ir low-sal<strong>in</strong>ity tolerance limit are more<br />

sensitive to o<strong>the</strong>r metabolic stresses such as<br />

higher temperatures and hazardous substances.<br />

Higher temperatures and/or lower sal<strong>in</strong>ity could<br />

<strong>the</strong>refore affect <strong>the</strong> species’ ability to deal with<br />

toxic substances and <strong>the</strong> different physiological<br />

regulation processes <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> detoxification<br />

of hazardous substances. The bioavailability of<br />

metals <strong>in</strong>creases with decreas<strong>in</strong>g sal<strong>in</strong>ity (Dippner<br />

et al. 2008); hence, <strong>the</strong> tolerance and <strong>the</strong> metabolic<br />

stress of some species may be exceeded,<br />

with consequences that are unfavourable to <strong>the</strong><br />

conservation aims of <strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong> biodiversity.<br />

6.10.2 Conclusions<br />

Hydrographic changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong> have<br />

already altered <strong>the</strong> distributions and ecological<br />

<strong>in</strong>teractions of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Baltic</strong> biota, and <strong>the</strong> regional<br />

climate model projections of anthropogenic climate<br />

change <strong>in</strong>dicate that even more pronounced<br />

Anklamer Stadtbruch, Germany<br />

changes can be expected dur<strong>in</strong>g this century. As<br />

<strong>the</strong> strongest abiotic parameter regulat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>Baltic</strong> biota is sal<strong>in</strong>ity, <strong>the</strong> projected decrease <strong>in</strong><br />

sal<strong>in</strong>ity is expected to change <strong>the</strong> geographic distribution<br />

limits of many species and even exclude<br />

native species from <strong>the</strong> <strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong>. Most likely, <strong>the</strong><br />

emerg<strong>in</strong>g freshwater species would replace some<br />

of <strong>the</strong> functions of mar<strong>in</strong>e species, but <strong>the</strong> capability<br />

of freshwater species to compensate for <strong>the</strong><br />

loss of habitat-form<strong>in</strong>g mar<strong>in</strong>e species is difficult<br />

to predict. By monitor<strong>in</strong>g certa<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>dicator species,<br />

known to be sensitive to a chang<strong>in</strong>g hydrographic<br />

regime, <strong>the</strong> climate-<strong>in</strong>duced ecosystem effects<br />

could be better understood, assessed, and, hopefully,<br />

predicted.<br />

The chang<strong>in</strong>g climate is expected to put considerable<br />

stress on <strong>the</strong> <strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong> ecosystem, mak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

it even more important to mitigate o<strong>the</strong>r human<br />

pressures. Known associations between sal<strong>in</strong>ity,<br />

temperature, toxic substances and <strong>the</strong> establishment<br />

of <strong>in</strong>vasive species, for example, <strong>in</strong>dicate that<br />

polluted environments that also undergo hydrographic<br />

changes experience <strong>the</strong> highest establishment<br />

rates of non-<strong>in</strong>digenous species. In addition,<br />

climate change is likely to exacerbate eutrophication,<br />

which may require enhanced efforts to<br />

decrease nutrient loads to <strong>the</strong> <strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong>.<br />

135

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