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BSEP116B Biodiversity in the Baltic Sea - Helcom

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<strong>Baltic</strong> esker island, Jurmo, F<strong>in</strong>land<br />

as projected, so also will <strong>the</strong> potential abundance<br />

and distribution limits of specific species and communities.<br />

The highly likely acceleration of eutrophication<br />

result<strong>in</strong>g from higher runoff and changes<br />

<strong>in</strong> hydrography will also affect biodiversity. This<br />

means, for example, that management measures<br />

to protect <strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong> biodiversity also need to be<br />

adjusted and <strong>in</strong> some cases re<strong>in</strong>forced. This will<br />

require effective and cont<strong>in</strong>uous feedback between<br />

different activities such as monitor<strong>in</strong>g programmes<br />

and management measures and, importantly, <strong>the</strong><br />

results of assessments and analyses must be turned<br />

<strong>in</strong>to decisions and implementation.<br />

A good knowledge base to support well<strong>in</strong>formed<br />

and cost-efficient management<br />

decisions<br />

The most cost-efficient protection measures can<br />

only be chosen based on good knowledge, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

both environmental and economic considerations.<br />

Only <strong>in</strong> this way will it be possible to achieve<br />

<strong>the</strong> necessary balance among <strong>the</strong> three pillars of<br />

susta<strong>in</strong>able development: economic, social, and<br />

environmental.<br />

There is a wealth of unrevealed biodiversity of<br />

underwater organisms and small organisms <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong>, as well as of genetic diversity. There is<br />

also a lack of knowledge on <strong>the</strong> distribution of<br />

many underwater ecological features. Even for<br />

larger organisms <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g threatened or decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

species, such as <strong>the</strong> harbour porpoise, <strong>the</strong><br />

distribution <strong>in</strong>formation is <strong>in</strong>complete. It is also<br />

surpris<strong>in</strong>g that despite <strong>the</strong> extensive research on<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong> ecosystem, many mechanisms of<br />

human impacts on species or habitats are still not<br />

known or are under heavy debate, such as <strong>the</strong><br />

causes of <strong>the</strong> M74 syndrome of <strong>Baltic</strong> wild salmon,<br />

potential impacts of <strong>the</strong> fish<strong>in</strong>g of top predators<br />

on eutrophication through food-web cascades, or<br />

<strong>the</strong> effects on <strong>Baltic</strong> biota of <strong>the</strong> numerous harmful<br />

substances that enter <strong>the</strong> <strong>Baltic</strong> <strong>Sea</strong>.<br />

In order to protect as well as to assess <strong>Baltic</strong> biodiversity,<br />

it is necessary to <strong>in</strong>crease our knowledge.<br />

In particular, it is important that causal <strong>in</strong>teractions<br />

are better known, i.e., that <strong>the</strong> driv<strong>in</strong>g forces<br />

beh<strong>in</strong>d changes <strong>in</strong> biodiversity are understood and<br />

that human impacts can be dist<strong>in</strong>guished from<br />

natural variations. Currently, cause-effect relationships<br />

have only been established for a limited<br />

number of <strong>in</strong>teractions, such as <strong>the</strong> effect of some<br />

hazardous substances on selected biota like seals,<br />

<strong>the</strong> relationship between nutrient concentration<br />

and phytoplankton biomass, and <strong>the</strong> effect of<br />

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