the Labour Market Survey Report - Council of European ...

Figure B-8
Number of Computing Professionals in Germany who had received training
in Four Weeks before Survey
(Source: Eurostat holdings of Member State LFS Quarter 2 data values below 8,000 are not statistically reliable)
16,000
14,000
12,000
Number Trained
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
1999
Year
2000
Possible Futures of IT Practitioner employment in Germany
Figure B-9 shows four scenarios for the development of the size of the IT Practitioner workforce in
Germany, based on the Eurostat totals for Computing Professionals (ISCO 213) and Computer Associate
Professionals (ISCO 312), based on assumptions of employment growth at 2% p.a., 5% p.a., 10% p.a.
and 15% p.a., subject to an initial trough arising from the 2000->2001 loss of confidence in the ICT
sector, which led to significant job losses internationally in 2001. The details of the scenario model and
the reasons for its choice are given in Section 5.
Table B-1 shows, for the four scenarios given, the Total (net) new supply of skilled manpower that
would be required to sustain that level of employment growth. It is recognized that the validity of
the assumptions – in particular about the shape of the initial “trough”, the “phasing” in relation to the
relevant national business cycle, and the level of replacement demand - would be refined as the first step
in deeper review analysis at the national level.
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| C E P I S I.T. PRACTITIONER SKILLS IN EUROPE | Annex B