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Table D-1<br />

Development Scenarios for IT Practitioners in Sweden<br />

Net supply estimation for each Scenario<br />

(estimates have not been rounded)<br />

Scenario Starying Point:<br />

Year/<br />

Quarter<br />

2002<br />

Q2<br />

Scenario 1:<br />

initial trough +2%<br />

Forecast<br />

for total<br />

in<br />

employment<br />

Annual<br />

New<br />

Supply<br />

Requirement<br />

Scenario 2:<br />

initial trough +5%<br />

Forecast<br />

for total<br />

in<br />

employment<br />

Annual<br />

New<br />

Supply<br />

Requirement<br />

Scenario 3:<br />

initial trough +10%<br />

Forecast<br />

for total<br />

in<br />

employment<br />

Annual<br />

New<br />

Supply<br />

Requirement<br />

Scenario 4:<br />

initial trough +15%<br />

Forecast<br />

for total<br />

in<br />

employment<br />

135,180 135,180 135,180 135,180<br />

Annual<br />

New<br />

Supply<br />

Requirement<br />

2000-2001:<br />

2001<br />

Q2<br />

129,535 132,888 138,104 145,836<br />

Growth Demand -5,645 -2,292 2,924 10,656<br />

Replacement Demand 3,238 3,322 3,453 3,646<br />

Total (Net) Demand -2,406 1,031 6,377 14,302<br />

2001-2002<br />

2002<br />

Q2<br />

114,811 120,832 130,504 145,526<br />

Growth Demand -14,724 -12,056 -7,601 -311<br />

Replacement Demand 2,870 3,021 3,263 3,638<br />

Total (Net) Demand -11,854 -9,036 -4,338 3,327<br />

2002-2003<br />

2003<br />

Q2<br />

119,625 129,157 144,970 170,708<br />

Growth Demand 4,814 8,325 14,467 25,182<br />

Replacement Demand 2,991 3,229 3,624 4,268<br />

Total (Net) Demand 7,804 11,554 18,091 29,450<br />

2003-2004<br />

2004<br />

Q2<br />

140,719 155,864 181,814 226,080<br />

Growth Demand 21,094 26,707 36,844 55,371<br />

Replacement Demand 3,518 3,897 4,545 5,652<br />

Total (Net) Demand 24,612 30,604 41,389 61,023<br />

2004-2005<br />

2002<br />

Q2<br />

148,707 168,976 204,846 268,980<br />

Growth Demand 7,989 13,112 23,032 42,900<br />

Replacement Demand 3,718 4,224 5,121 6,724<br />

Total (Net) Demand 11,706 17,336 28,153 49,625<br />

C E P I S I.T. PRACTITIONER SKILLS IN EUROPE | Annex D | 131

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