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Figure B-8 Number of Computing Professionals in Germany who had received training in Four Weeks before Survey (Source: Eurostat holdings of Member State LFS Quarter 2 data values below 8,000 are not statistically reliable) 16,000 14,000 12,000 Number Trained 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1999 Year 2000 Possible Futures of IT Practitioner employment in Germany Figure B-9 shows four scenarios for the development of the size of the IT Practitioner workforce in Germany, based on the Eurostat totals for Computing Professionals (ISCO 213) and Computer Associate Professionals (ISCO 312), based on assumptions of employment growth at 2% p.a., 5% p.a., 10% p.a. and 15% p.a., subject to an initial trough arising from the 2000->2001 loss of confidence in the ICT sector, which led to significant job losses internationally in 2001. The details of the scenario model and the reasons for its choice are given in Section 5. Table B-1 shows, for the four scenarios given, the Total (net) new supply of skilled manpower that would be required to sustain that level of employment growth. It is recognized that the validity of the assumptions – in particular about the shape of the initial “trough”, the “phasing” in relation to the relevant national business cycle, and the level of replacement demand - would be refined as the first step in deeper review analysis at the national level. 116 | C E P I S I.T. PRACTITIONER SKILLS IN EUROPE | Annex B
Q1 1995 Q3 Q1 1996 Q3 Q1 1997 Q3 Q1 1998 Q3 Q1 1998 Q3 Q1 2000 Q3 Q1 2001 Q3 Q1 2002 Q3 Q1 2003 Q3 Q1 2004 Q3 Q1 2005 Q3 Figure B-9 Recent development of German ITP workforce total and Forecast Scenarios (Source: Eurostat holdings of EU Member State Labour Force Surveys: data for ISCO 312) 1,400,000 ISCO 213 Numbers in employment in each Category 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 ISCO 312 ISCOs 213+312 Scenario 1 (2% p.a.) Scenario 2 (5% p.a.) Scenario 3 (10% p.a.) Scenario 4 (15% p.a.) 0 Year/Quarter N.B. Average employment growth over previous 5 years was 9.5%; employment growth in the previous year was 17.8% C E P I S I.T. PRACTITIONER SKILLS IN EUROPE | Annex B | 117
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Information Technology Practitioner
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Preface In spite of an extended per
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Acknowledgements The author has bee
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Executive Summary The current state
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Table of Contents 1. Introduction .
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1. Introduction This Study was init
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In its quantitative work, this stud
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2. Economic Context 2.1 Scale and I
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2.2 Market Performance Labour marke
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2.4 Employers’ and Individuals’
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26 | C E P I S I.T. PRACTITIONER SK
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3. Policy Context 3.1 Academic and
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Probably the greatest challenge in
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The ISCO classification used for Eu
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4.2 Recent development of the IT Pr
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600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200
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4.3 IT Practitioners in Germany The
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The “Monitoring Informationswirts
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4.4 IT Practitioners in Ireland The
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As part of its work, the Expert Gro
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Table 3: Sub-sectoral structure of
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From the data gathered for this stu
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applicants to such courses (as meas
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• Around one in ten establishment
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4.7 Some comparisons between the fo
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Employment Status: Probably the mos
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Highest Academic Achievement of Com
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ISCED Levels 0-2: General Education
Page 67 and 68: 4.8 IT Practitioners in other Membe
Page 69 and 70: 1.8 1.6 1.2 1 0.6 0.2 Figure 18 Num
Page 71 and 72: Recent policy responses to skill sh
Page 73 and 74: Information Technology Practitioner
Page 75 and 76: The IDC approach is based on estima
Page 77 and 78: 5.3 Improving Validity of Estimates
Page 79 and 80: Q1 Q2 2000 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2001 Q3 Q4 Q
Page 81 and 82: Figure 20 Development Scenarios for
Page 85 and 86: 6.2 The Need for, and Value of, Mor
Page 87 and 88: 6.4 Proposed Full Study for all EU
Page 91: (ii) Education and Training terms i
Page 95 and 96: Annex A Definitions, Datastructures
Page 97 and 98: - “Skills Framework for the Infor
Page 99 and 100: Occupational Frameworks for this St
Page 101 and 102: NACE Nomenclature generale des Acti
Page 103 and 104: Section J: Financial intermediation
Page 105 and 106: ISCO International Standard Occupat
Page 107 and 108: Limitations: Eurostat Holdings of M
Page 109 and 110: The occupational classification app
Page 111 and 112: SOC-90 Categories ISCO-88 Codes 123
Page 113 and 114: Annex B Analyses of Eurostat Data:
Page 115 and 116: 120,000 Figure B-2 Age Profiles of
Page 117: Numbers employed with ISCED Educati
Page 121 and 122: Annex C Analyses of Eurostat Data:
Page 123 and 124: Employer Size Distribution of Compu
Page 125 and 126: Table C-1 Development Scenarios for
Page 127 and 128: Annex D Analyses of Eurostat Data:
Page 129 and 130: Numbers in employment in each Categ
Page 131 and 132: Status of Computing Professionals i
Page 133 and 134: Table D-1 Development Scenarios for
Page 135 and 136: Annex E Analyses of Eurostat Data:
Page 137 and 138: 350,000 Figure E-3 Computing Profes
Page 139 and 140: 25,000 Figure E-7 Status of Computi
Page 141 and 142: Table E-1 Development Scenarios for
Page 143 and 144: Annex F References and Brief Abstra
Page 145 and 146: IDC (2000): IDC Study on the ICT sk
Page 147 and 148: IDC (Milroy, A. and Rajah, P.) 2000
Page 149 and 150: 2. National Level Work: a. Germany
Page 151 and 152: ITNTO 1999 “Bugbuster” Final Re
Page 153: Council of European Professional In
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