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Table <strong>of</strong> Contents<br />

1. Introduction ......................................................................................................................................13<br />

2. Economic Context ............................................................................................................................19<br />

2.1 Scale and Importance ................................................................................................................20<br />

2.2 <strong>Market</strong> Performance...................................................................................................................22<br />

2.3 National Characteristics .............................................................................................................23<br />

2.4 Employers’ and Individuals’ Roles ............................................................................................24<br />

3. Policy Context...................................................................................................................................27<br />

3.1 Academic and Vocational Education and Training Infrastructures ..........................................28<br />

3.2 Approaches to <strong>Labour</strong> <strong>Market</strong> Policies .....................................................................................28<br />

3.3 Policy responses to Skill Shortages ..........................................................................................29<br />

3.4 Experience with Relevant Initiatives..........................................................................................30<br />

3.5 Roles <strong>of</strong> National and <strong>European</strong> Policy-Makers........................................................................30<br />

4. The IT Practitioner <strong>Labour</strong> <strong>Market</strong> in Europe.................................................................................33<br />

4.1 IT Practitioners: Definitions and Data Sources .........................................................................34<br />

4.2 Recent development <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> IT Practitioner workforce in Member States ...............................37<br />

4.3 IT Practitioners in Germany .......................................................................................................41<br />

4.4 IT Practitioners in Ireland ...........................................................................................................45<br />

4.5 IT Practitioners in Sweden.........................................................................................................48<br />

4.6 IT Practitioners in <strong>the</strong> United Kingdom .....................................................................................52<br />

4.7 Some comparisons between <strong>the</strong> four Member States examined...........................................57<br />

4.8 IT Practitioners in o<strong>the</strong>r Member States ...................................................................................65<br />

4.9 The Role <strong>of</strong> Migration ................................................................................................................68<br />

5. Estimating Skill Shortages ..............................................................................................................71<br />

5.1 Possible Approaches..................................................................................................................72<br />

5.2 Existing Estimates for <strong>the</strong> <strong>European</strong> Union ..............................................................................72<br />

5.3 Improving Validity <strong>of</strong> Estimates and Forecasts.........................................................................75<br />

5.4 Robustness <strong>of</strong> Estimates............................................................................................................78<br />

5.5 Preliminary Scenarios ................................................................................................................78<br />

6. Conclusions and Recommendations...............................................................................................81<br />

6.1 General Conclusions ..................................................................................................................82<br />

6.2 The Need for, and Value <strong>of</strong>, More Realistic Forecasting...........................................................83<br />

6.3 Issues needing Fur<strong>the</strong>r Clarification ..........................................................................................84<br />

6.4 Proposed Full Study for all EU Member States ........................................................................85<br />

6.5 Specific Recommendations.......................................................................................................86<br />

Glossary ..........................................................................................................................................87<br />

Annexes<br />

A Definitions, Data Structures and Limitations ...................................................................................93<br />

B Analyses <strong>of</strong> Eurostat Data: Germany ...............................................................................................111<br />

C Analyses <strong>of</strong> Eurostat Data: Ireland ...................................................................................................119<br />

D Analyses <strong>of</strong> Eurostat Data: Sweden.................................................................................................125<br />

E Analyses <strong>of</strong> Eurostat Data: United Kingdom ...................................................................................133<br />

F References and Brief Abstracts ........................................................................................................141

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