the Labour Market Survey Report - Council of European ...
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Table B-1<br />
Development Scenarios for IT Practitioners in Germany<br />
Net supply estimation for each Scenario<br />
(estimates have not been rounded)<br />
Scenario Starying Point:<br />
Year/<br />
Quarter<br />
2002<br />
Q2<br />
Scenario 1:<br />
initial trough +2%<br />
Forecast<br />
for total<br />
in<br />
employment<br />
Annual<br />
New<br />
Supply<br />
Requirement<br />
Scenario 2:<br />
initial trough +5%<br />
Forecast<br />
for total<br />
in<br />
employment<br />
Annual<br />
New<br />
Supply<br />
Requirement<br />
Scenario 3:<br />
initial trough +10%<br />
Forecast<br />
for total<br />
in<br />
employment<br />
Annual<br />
New<br />
Supply<br />
Requirement<br />
Scenario 4:<br />
initial trough +15%<br />
Forecast<br />
for total<br />
in<br />
employment<br />
552,087 552,087 552,087 552,087<br />
Annual<br />
New<br />
Supply<br />
Requirement<br />
2000-2001:<br />
2001<br />
Q2<br />
529,034 542,728 564,031 595,069<br />
Growth Demand -23,053 -9,359 11,943 43,522<br />
Replacement Demand 13,226 13,568 14,101 14,890<br />
Total (Net) Demand -9,827 4,209 26,044 58,412<br />
2001-2002<br />
2002<br />
Q2<br />
468,900 493,489 532,989 594,340<br />
Growth Demand -60,134 -49,239 -31,042 -1,269<br />
Replacement Demand 11,722 12,337 13,325 14,858<br />
Total (Net) Demand -48,412 -36,902 -17,717 -13,589<br />
2002-2003<br />
2003<br />
Q2<br />
488,559 527,489 592,071 697,187<br />
Growth Demand 19,659 34,000 59,083 102,847<br />
Replacement Demand 12,214 13,187 14,802 17,430<br />
Total (Net) Demand 31,873 47,187 73,885 120,277<br />
2003-2004<br />
2004<br />
Q2<br />
574,707 636,563 742,545 923,329<br />
Growth Demand 86,148 109,074 150,474 226,142<br />
Replacement Demand 14,368 15,914 18,564 23,083<br />
Total (Net) Demand 100,516 124,989 169,037 249,225<br />
2004-2005<br />
2002<br />
Q2<br />
607,334 690,114 836,609 1,098,537<br />
Growth Demand 32,626 53,551 94,064 175,208<br />
Replacement Demand 15,183 17,253 20,915 27,463<br />
Total (Net) Demand 47,810 70,804 114,979 202,671<br />
118<br />
| C E P I S I.T. PRACTITIONER SKILLS IN EUROPE | Annex B