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Q1<br />

1995 Q3<br />

Q1<br />

1996 Q3<br />

Q1<br />

1997 Q3<br />

Q1<br />

1998 Q3<br />

Q1<br />

1998 Q3<br />

Q1<br />

2000 Q3<br />

Q1<br />

2001 Q3<br />

Q1<br />

2002 Q3<br />

Q1<br />

2003 Q3<br />

Q1<br />

2004 Q3<br />

Q1<br />

2005 Q3<br />

Highest Education Level <strong>of</strong> Computing Pr<strong>of</strong>essionals in Ireland:<br />

No meaningful data available from Eurostat<br />

Status <strong>of</strong> Computing Pr<strong>of</strong>essionals in Ireland one year before <strong>Survey</strong>:<br />

No meaningful data available from Eurostat<br />

Number <strong>of</strong> Computing Pr<strong>of</strong>essionals in Ireland who had received Training in Four Weeks fore <strong>Survey</strong>:<br />

No meaningful data available from Eurostat<br />

Possible Futures <strong>of</strong> IT Practitioner employment in Ireland<br />

As for Germany, Figure C-5 shows four scenarios for <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> IT Practitioner<br />

workforce in Ireland, based on <strong>the</strong> Eurostat totals for Computing Pr<strong>of</strong>essionals (ISCO 213) (Ireland<br />

has submitted no data for Computer Associate Pr<strong>of</strong>essionals (ISCO 312*)), based on assumptions<br />

<strong>of</strong> employment growth at 2% p.a., 5% p.a., 10% p.a. and 15% p.a., subject to an initial trough. The<br />

scenario model is described in Section 5.<br />

Again, Table C-1 shows, for <strong>the</strong> four scenarios given, <strong>the</strong> Total (net) new supply <strong>of</strong> skilled manpower<br />

that would be required to sustain that level <strong>of</strong> employment growth. It is recognized that <strong>the</strong> validity <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> assumptions – in particular about <strong>the</strong> shape <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> initial “trough”, <strong>the</strong> “phasing” in relation to <strong>the</strong><br />

relevant national business cycle, and <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> replacement demand - would be refined as <strong>the</strong> first step<br />

in deeper review analysis at <strong>the</strong> national level.<br />

Figure C-5<br />

Recent development <strong>of</strong> Irish ITP workforce total and Forecast Scenarios<br />

(Source: Eurostat holdings <strong>of</strong> EU Member State <strong>Labour</strong> Force <strong>Survey</strong>s: data for ISCO 312)<br />

50,000<br />

ISCO 213<br />

Numbers in employment in each Category<br />

45,000<br />

40,000<br />

35,000<br />

30,000<br />

25,000<br />

20,000<br />

15,000<br />

10,000<br />

5,000<br />

0<br />

Scenario 1<br />

(2% p.a.)<br />

Scenario 2<br />

(5% p.a.)<br />

Scenario 3<br />

(10% p.a.)<br />

Scenario 4<br />

(15% p.a.)<br />

N.B. Most<br />

recent annual<br />

employment<br />

increase =<br />

11.2%<br />

Year/Quarter<br />

* because, as for <strong>the</strong> United Kingdom, <strong>the</strong> main national IT Practitioner category included workers both with and<br />

without degrees (see Annex A)<br />

122<br />

| C E P I S I.T. PRACTITIONER SKILLS IN EUROPE | Annex C

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