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the Labour Market Survey Report - Council of European ...

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2. Economic Context<br />

2.1 Scale and Importance<br />

While <strong>the</strong> significant loss <strong>of</strong> confidence – and resultant downturn - in <strong>the</strong> Information and Communications<br />

Technology (ICT) sectors have, during 2001, resulted in substantial levels <strong>of</strong> personnel lay-<strong>of</strong>fs by hightech<br />

companies, this does not reduce <strong>the</strong> fundamental importance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se sectors <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy<br />

to future development, and <strong>the</strong> continuing need for large numbers <strong>of</strong> people with relevant skills in <strong>the</strong><br />

coming years. It is hardly surprising that <strong>the</strong> growing recognition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> realities <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> new-technology<br />

market-place (that – as in all o<strong>the</strong>r markets – not every enterprise would succeed and make <strong>the</strong> initiators<br />

rich) produced a hesitation in <strong>the</strong> strong growth that arose as <strong>the</strong> Internet take-up really began at <strong>the</strong> end<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> twentieth century.<br />

The strategic importance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> new global information infrastructure remains, and fur<strong>the</strong>r technological<br />

developments will continue to enable speed, functionality and operational business effectiveness – and<br />

so fur<strong>the</strong>r value – to be added. But <strong>the</strong> marketplace has behaved – as all marketplaces – as a laboratory<br />

and learning environment, where clever, innovative, business ideas and models will be tested and will<br />

succeed or not.<br />

Unfortunately, <strong>the</strong> “shake-out” <strong>of</strong> early e-business models coincided, in early 2001, with a serious<br />

downturn in <strong>the</strong> United States economy, and this trend was compounded by reactions to <strong>the</strong> events<br />

<strong>of</strong> 11 September in New York and Washington. All <strong>of</strong> this has produced a significant and discouraging<br />

loss <strong>of</strong> business confidence, and a sombre economic context and prospect for Information and<br />

Communications Technologies at this time (early 2002). The impact <strong>of</strong> a steady stream <strong>of</strong> lay<strong>of</strong>fs from<br />

companies in <strong>the</strong> ICT sectors does, however, have <strong>the</strong> effect <strong>of</strong> reducing (if not eliminating) <strong>the</strong> serious<br />

shortages <strong>of</strong> ICT skills that have faced employers over recent years within EU Member States and<br />

beyond. That reality will allow policy-makers and o<strong>the</strong>rs interested in this area a modest respite - an<br />

opportunity to reflect seriously on labour market behaviour, and to consider more thoroughly how future<br />

shortages might be reduced, not least by steps taken in advance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> next phase <strong>of</strong> growth.<br />

It is important that <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> labour market pressure does not allow <strong>the</strong> issue to disappear altoge<strong>the</strong>r at<br />

<strong>the</strong> bottom <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> political agendas <strong>of</strong> national Education, Skills and Industry ministries, for two reasons:<br />

a) because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> strategic importance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> area, and b) because action in advance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> next strong<br />

growth phase could help reduce <strong>the</strong> severity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> likely skill shortages when <strong>the</strong> pick-up starts.<br />

Indications <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> importance <strong>of</strong> ICT to national economies within Europe can be shown from both <strong>the</strong><br />

economic activity (production volumes) and employment within ICT. OECD and Eurostat estimates for<br />

<strong>the</strong>se are shown in Tables 1a and 1b.<br />

20<br />

| C E P I S I.T. PRACTITIONER SKILLS IN EUROPE | Section 2

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