the Labour Market Survey Report - Council of European ...

Table 5: Scenarios for Development of IT Practitioner workforce in the European Union
Annual New Supply Requirements (figures not rounded)
Scenario Starying Point:
Year/
Quarter
2002
Q2
Scenario 1:
initial trough +2%
Forecast
for total
in
employment
Annual
New
Supply
Requirement
Scenario 2:
initial trough +5%
Forecast
for total
in
employment
Annual
New
Supply
Requirement
Scenario 3:
initial trough +10%
Forecast
for total
in
employment
Annual
New
Supply
Requirement
Scenario 4:
initial trough +15%
Forecast
for total
in
employment
2,442,564 2,442,564 2,442,564 2,442,564
Annual
New
Supply
Requirement
2000-2001:
2001
Q2
2,340,572 2,401,157 2,495,405 2,635,114
Growth Demand -101,992 -41,407 52,841 192,550
Replacement Demand 58,514 60,029 62,385 65,878
Total (Net) Demand -43,478 18,622 115,226 258,428
2001-2002
2002
Q2
2,074,523 2,183,311 2,358,068 2,629,500
Growth Demand -266,049 -217,846 -137,337 -5,614
Replacement Demand 51863 54,583 58,952 65,738
Total (Net) Demand -214,186 -163,263 -78,385 60,124
2002-2003
2003
Q2
2,161,500 2,333,733 2,619,463 3,084,520
Growth Demand 86,977 150,422 261,395 445,020
Replacement Demand 54,038 58,343 65,487 77,113
Total (Net) Demand 141,015 208,765 326,882 532,133
2003-2004
2004
Q2
2,542,640 2,816,304 3,285,194 4,085,026
Growth Demand 381,140 482,571 665,731 1,000,506
Replacement Demand 63,566 70,408 82,130 102,126
Total (Net) Demand 444,706 552,979 747,861 1,102,632
2004-2005
2002
Q2
2,686,987 3,053,226 3,701,355 4,860,187
Growth Demand 144,347 236,922 416,161 775,161
Replacement Demand 67,175 76,331 92,534 121,505
Total (Net) Demand 211,522 313,253 508,695 896,666
80
| C E P I S I.T. PRACTITIONER SKILLS IN EUROPE | Section 5