recent developments in high frequency financial ... - Index of
recent developments in high frequency financial ... - Index of
recent developments in high frequency financial ... - Index of
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232 J. M. Rodríguez-Poo et al.<br />
where<br />
V � t ′ 0 ,η� =<br />
� K 2 (u)du<br />
I � t ′ 0 ,η� �<br />
∂<br />
= E<br />
∂φ<br />
f(t ′ 0 )I � t ′ 0 ,η�,<br />
�<br />
�<br />
log p (d; φ,η)2�<br />
� t′ = t ′ �<br />
0<br />
and f(t ′ 0 ) is the marg<strong>in</strong>al density function <strong>of</strong> t′ ,asn tends to <strong>in</strong>f<strong>in</strong>ity.<br />
(16)<br />
(17)<br />
This theorem is very appeal<strong>in</strong>g s<strong>in</strong>ce it allows us to make <strong>in</strong>ference on the<br />
parametric and nonparametric components. However, the result depends on the<br />
correct specification <strong>of</strong> the conditional density function <strong>of</strong> the error term. In Section<br />
2.1 we weaken certa<strong>in</strong> assumptions about the error density function and show that<br />
our result rema<strong>in</strong>s valid.<br />
2.1 The GLM Approach<br />
As po<strong>in</strong>ted out <strong>in</strong> Engle and Russell (1998) and Engle (2000), it is <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest<br />
to have estimation techniques available that do not rely on the knowledge<br />
<strong>of</strong> the functional form <strong>of</strong> the conditional density function. Two alternative<br />
approaches that allow for consistent estimation <strong>of</strong> the parameters <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest<br />
without specify<strong>in</strong>g the conditional density are quasi maximum likelihood techniques,<br />
QML, (see Gouriéroux, Monfort and Trognon (1984)) and generalized<br />
l<strong>in</strong>ear models, GLM, (see McCullagh and Nelder (1989)). In both approaches it<br />
is assumed that di, conditional on ¯di−1 and ¯yi−1, depends on a scalar parameter<br />
θ = h � ¯di−1, ¯yi−1,t ′ �<br />
i−1 ; ϑ1,ϑ2 , and its distribution belongs to a one-dimensional<br />
exponential family with conditional density<br />
q � di| ¯di−1, ¯yi−1; θ � = exp (diθ − b(θ) + c(di)) ,<br />
where b(·) and c(·) are known functions. The ma<strong>in</strong> difference between the QML<br />
and the GLM approaches is simply a different parameterization. We adopt the GLM<br />
approach for the sake <strong>of</strong> convenience. By adopt<strong>in</strong>g the GLM parametrization, it is<br />
straightforward � to see that the ML estimator <strong>of</strong> θ solves the first order conditions<br />
ni=1 �<br />
di − b ′ (θ) � = 0. The ML estimator <strong>of</strong> θ can also be obta<strong>in</strong>ed from the<br />
solution <strong>of</strong> the follow<strong>in</strong>g equation<br />
n�<br />
i=1<br />
�<br />
di − ϕ � ψ(¯di−1, ¯yi−1; ϑ1), φ(t ′ i−1 ; ϑ2) �� ϕ ′ � ψ(¯di−1, ¯yi−1; ϑ1), φ(t ′ �<br />
i−1 ; ϑ2)<br />
V � ϕ � ψ(¯di−1, ¯yi−1; ϑ1), φ(t ′ �� = 0.<br />
i−1 ; ϑ2)<br />
(18)<br />
The parameter <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest θ (the so-called canonical parameter) can be estimated without<br />
specify<strong>in</strong>g the whole conditional distribution function. It is only necessary to specify the<br />
functional form <strong>of</strong> the conditional mean, ϕ(·), and <strong>of</strong> the conditional variance V(·), but<br />
not the whole distribution.<br />
The relationship between the predictors <strong>in</strong> Eq. (7) and the canonical parameter is<br />
given by the l<strong>in</strong>k function. This function depends on the member <strong>of</strong> the exponential