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Appendix Table A1 Consumer confidence • ✓ 10 min −0.06 −0.05 −0.09 −0.07 −0.06 −0.06 −0.04 −0.09 −0.09 −0.07 −0.09 −0.03 −0.05 −0.06 −0.06 −0.01 −0.06 −0.08 −0.11 −0.06 0.08 20 min −0.06 −0.07 −0.06 −0.06 −0.06 −0.06 −0.07 −0.07 −0.05 −0.05 −0.09 −0.05 −0.05 −0.06 −0.11 −0.06 −0.05 −0.04 −0.07 −0.04 −0.13 30 min −0.06 −0.06 −0.04 −0.05 −0.06 −0.06 −0.08 −0.05 −0.03 −0.04 −0.08 −0.06 −0.04 −0.05 −0.11 −0.08 −0.03 −0.01 −0.04 −0.02 −0.21 40 min −0.04 −0.05 −0.02 −0.04 −0.05 −0.04 −0.07 −0.03 −0.02 −0.02 −0.06 −0.06 −0.02 −0.04 −0.10 −0.08 −0.02 0.01 −0.03 0.02 0.21 50 min −0.03 −0.03 −0.01 −0.02 −0.03 −0.02 −0.05 −0.02 −0.01 −0.01 −0.04 −0.05 −0.01 −0.02 −0.06 −0.07 0.00 0.01 −0.02 −0.01 −0.16 60 min −0.01 −0.01 −0.01 −0.01 −0.02 −0.01 −0.03 −0.02 −0.01 0.00 −0.02 −0.04 0.00 −0.01 −0.03 −0.05 0.01 0.01 −0.01 −0.01 −0.09 70 min 0.00 0.00 −0.01 0.00 −0.01 0.01 −0.01 −0.01 −0.01 0.00 0.00 −0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 −0.04 0.02 0.01 −0.01 −0.01 −0.02 80 min 0.01 0.01 −0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.01 −0.01 −0.01 0.01 0.01 −0.02 0.02 0.01 0.03 −0.02 0.02 0.00 −0.01 −0.02 0.04 90 min 0.01 0.02 −0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 −0.01 −0.01 0.00 0.01 −0.01 0.02 0.01 0.03 −0.01 0.02 −0.01 −0.01 −0.02 0.07 100 min 0.01 0.01 −0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 −0.01 −0.01 0.00 0.01 −0.01 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.00 0.01 −0.02 0.00 −0.02 0.07 110 min 0.00 0.01 −0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 −0.01 −0.01 −0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.01 −0.02 0.00 −0.02 0.04 120 min 0.00 0.00 −0.01 −0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 −0.01 −0.01 −0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 −0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 −0.02 0.00 −0.02 0.00 Estimation results using PDL models with polynomial of degree three. Standard errors estimated with the heteroskedastic consistent White estimator. Bold and italic numbers are significant at 5 and 10%, respectively. Otherwise, they are statistically equal to zero. •,✓and stand for estimation results for all, positive and negative forecasting errors, respectively. and stand for estimation results for forecasting errors in expansions and contractions of the business cycle, respectively. , , and stand for estimation results for forecasting errors in the top, bottom, expansions and contractions of the business cycle 284 D. Veredas
Table A2 ISM • ✓ 10 min −0.09 −0.12 −0.08 −0.07 −0.11 −0.12 0.03 −0.10 −0.11 −0.07 −0.12 −0.11 −0.07 −0.12 −0.03 −0.18 −0.15 0.02 −0.14 −0.09 0.01 20 min −0.20 −0.19 −0.21 −0.23 −0.18 −0.20 −0.27 −0.13 −0.19 −0.18 −0.19 −0.19 −0.26 −0.26 −0.06 −0.15 −0.18 −0.05 −0.22 −0.19 −0.34 30 min −0.23 −0.20 −0.25 −0.27 −0.20 −0.22 −0.39 −0.14 −0.21 −0.22 −0.20 −0.20 −0.31 −0.29 −0.07 −0.11 −0.17 −0.09 −0.23 −0.22 −0.46 40 min −0.21 −0.17 −0.23 −0.25 −0.18 −0.19 −0.37 −0.13 −0.19 −0.20 −0.18 −0.18 −0.28 −0.26 −0.09 −0.06 −0.13 −0.10 −0.20 −0.20 −0.43 50 min −0.16 −0.13 −0.17 −0.19 −0.14 −0.14 −0.29 −0.11 −0.14 −0.15 −0.14 −0.13 −0.20 −0.19 −0.09 −0.01 −0.09 −0.09 −0.16 −0.15 −0.32 60 min −0.10 −0.08 −0.11 −0.11 −0.09 −0.08 −0.17 −0.09 −0.09 −0.10 −0.10 −0.08 −0.11 −0.11 −0.09 0.02 −0.05 −0.07 −0.10 −0.09 −0.17 70 min −0.04 −0.03 −0.04 −0.03 −0.04 −0.02 −0.05 −0.07 −0.04 −0.04 −0.05 −0.03 −0.02 −0.04 −0.08 0.04 −0.01 −0.05 −0.05 −0.04 −0.02 80 min 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.04 −0.05 0.00 0.00 −0.02 0.01 0.05 0.02 −0.07 0.04 0.02 −0.02 0.00 0.00 0.09 90 min 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.02 0.03 0.09 −0.04 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.09 0.04 −0.05 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.15 100 min 0.04 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.09 −0.03 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.09 0.04 −0.03 −0.01 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.15 110 min 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.06 −0.02 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.01 −0.01 −0.04 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.11 120 min 0.00 −0.01 0.00 −0.01 0.00 −0.01 0.00 −0.01 0.01 −0.01 0.00 −0.01 0.02 −0.03 0.01 −0.06 0.01 0.01 −0.01 0.00 0.02 See legend Table A1 Macroeconomic surprises and short-term behaviour in bond futures 285
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High Frequency Financial Econometri
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Prof. Luc Bauwens CORE Voie du Roma
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vi Contents Intraday stock prices,
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2 L. Bauwens et al. component nicel
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4 L. Bauwens et al. but provides al
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Luc Bauwens . Dagfinn Rime . Genaro
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Exchange rate volatility and the mi
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32 K. Bien et al. Although economet
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34 K. Bien et al. 2.1 Copula functi
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36 K. Bien et al. and x k t ≡ (xk
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38 K. Bien et al. Fig. 3 Multivaria
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40 K. Bien et al. Bivariate model s
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42 K. Bien et al. deviation 0.0099,
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44 K. Bien et al. - Set ˆzt = Âxt
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46 K. Bien et al. % Frequency −0.
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48 K. Bien et al. References Amilon
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50 1 Introduction A. Escribano and
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52 A. Escribano and R. Pascual Jang
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54 A. Escribano and R. Pascual the
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56 The generating processes of mark
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58 with AtðLÞ ¼ 0 B @ 1 ð ÞAab
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60 A. Escribano and R. Pascual cros
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62 Hasbrouck (1991). The system is
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64 unitary seller-initiated shock (
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66 6.1 Estimation of the baseline m
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Table 2 The base-line VEC model for
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70 Table 3 Simulation of the base-l
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72 revert towards narrow levels. As
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Table 5 Impulse-response functions
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76 We also show that NYSE buyer-ini
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78 As 0 < a m < 1; L ð Þ ¼ 1 a m
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80 NYSE 2000 Stocks AOL America Onl
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82 A. Escribano and R. Pascual Madh
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84 1 Introduction S. Frey, J. Gramm
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86 develops the empirical methodolo
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Table 1 Sample descriptives Company
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90 comparability across stocks, we
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92 subtracting the deviations from
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94 market order distribution that c
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96 Table 2 First stage GMM results
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Table 4 First stage GMM results bas
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100 S. Frey, J. Grammig quotes on e
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102 S. Frey, J. Grammig approximate
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104 To obtain the estimates in the
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106 Hence, using the liquidity stat
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108 In the main text we discuss the
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Pierre Giot . Joachim Grammig How l
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How large is liquidity risk in an a
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134 A. D. Hall, N. Hautsch In this
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136 includes order book variables,
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138 An important determinant of liq
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140 The innovation term ei is compu
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Table 1 Order book characteristics
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144 data covering the normal tradin
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146 Table 3 Descriptive statistics
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Table 4 Fully specified ACI models
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Table 4 (continued) BHP NAB NCP TLS
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Table 5 ACI models without dynamics
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Table 6 ACI models without covariat
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160 specification which includes or
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162 5.2.5 The impact of the bid-ask
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164 contrast to those of Pascual an
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Roman Liesenfeld . Ingmar Nolte . W
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Modelling financial transaction pri
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200 W. B. Omrane, H. V. Oppens anal
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202 W. B. Omrane, H. V. Oppens of s
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204 The extrema detection method ba
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206 price 0.8565 0.8575 0.8585 0.85
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208 We distinguish three possible c
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210 originates. The most active tra
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212 Table 2 Predictability of the c
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214 6 Conclusion Using 5-min euro/d
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216 where σk is the standard devia
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218 If we meet a particular case su
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220 C.5. Triple bottom (TB) TB is c
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222 References W. B. Omrane, H. V.
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Juan M. Rodríguez-Poo · David Ver
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Semiparametric estimation for finan
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Page 262 and 263: 256 simply aggregated. Even after a
Page 264 and 265: 258 is to make use of the fact that
Page 266 and 267: 260 together with the restrictions
Page 268 and 269: Table 3 Estimated probabilities of
Page 270 and 271: 264 A. S. Tay, C. Ting More interes
Page 272 and 273: Table 4 Estimated probabilities of
Page 274 and 275: 268 Acknowledgements Tay gratefully
Page 276 and 277: 270 This paper explores the effect
Page 278 and 279: 272 contrast, price responses to po
Page 280 and 281: 274 Fig. 1 Continuous line is the T
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Page 284 and 285: 278 fixing some intervals around th
Page 286 and 287: 280 . That is for a given absolute
Page 288 and 289: 282 30 25 20 15 10 5 CC UNEMW ISM U
Page 292 and 293: Table A3 Non-farm payrolls • ✓
Page 294 and 295: Table A5 Weekly unemployment claims
Page 296 and 297: 290 Table A8 Retail sales • ✓ 1
Page 298 and 299: 292 Table A12 GDP, BI, TB and PI Re
Page 300 and 301: 294 V. Voev with the problem of how
Page 302 and 303: 296 V. Voev 2.1 A sample covariance
Page 304 and 305: 298 V. Voev Using the equicorrelate
Page 306 and 307: 300 V. Voev where �kl(t) is the (
Page 308 and 309: 302 V. Voev where hkl,k ′ l ′ i
Page 310 and 311: 304 V. Voev is 1.9%. From the daily
Page 312 and 313: 306 V. Voev ACF ACF ACF 0.5 0.5 0.5
Page 314 and 315: 308 V. Voev autocorrelated. Indeed,
Page 316 and 317: 310 V. Voev 5 Conclusion Table 2 Ro
Page 318: 312 V. Voev Engle R (1982) Autoregr
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