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Semiparametric estimation for f<strong>in</strong>ancial durations 239<br />

Fig. 4 Intradaily roll<strong>in</strong>g means (solid l<strong>in</strong>es) and standard deviations (dashed l<strong>in</strong>es) for half hour<br />

<strong>in</strong>tervals. Boe<strong>in</strong>g price durations <strong>in</strong> the left box and Disney volume durations <strong>in</strong> the right box<br />

Fig. 5 Spearman’s ρ coefficients for serial dependence for price durations (left box), and volume<br />

durations (right box)<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ally, Fig. 5 conta<strong>in</strong>s the Spearman’s ρ coefficients <strong>of</strong> serial dependence. They<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicate the presence <strong>of</strong> dependencies, justify<strong>in</strong>g the dynamic component <strong>in</strong> the model.<br />

3.3 Estimation results<br />

Prior to estimation, we need to specify ϕ(u, v), the lag orders, and the form <strong>of</strong> g(·) <strong>in</strong> (4),<br />

the conditional density <strong>of</strong> the error term and the nonparametric estimator φ(t ′<br />

i−1 ).We<br />

opt for a Log-ACD(1,1), which has been successfully used <strong>in</strong> the literature. As for the<br />

density, we chose a generalized gamma as it is able to reproduce the features <strong>high</strong>lighted<br />

earlier. We also provide the quasi maximum likelihood estimates us<strong>in</strong>g the exponential<br />

density.<br />

We estimate φ(t ′<br />

i−1 ) <strong>in</strong> four different ways. Two <strong>of</strong> them are jo<strong>in</strong>t estimators, <strong>in</strong> the<br />

sense that estimation is performed jo<strong>in</strong>tly with the parameters. One is Eq. (13) that we<br />

denote by UniNW—stand<strong>in</strong>g for one step Nadaraya–Watson. The other is the polynomial<br />

spl<strong>in</strong>e used by Engle and Russell (1995 and 1997) that we denote by UniSp—stand<strong>in</strong>g<br />

for one step spl<strong>in</strong>e. We do not use their parametrization but<br />

E � di| ¯di−1,t ′ �<br />

�<br />

� di−1<br />

i−1 = ψi = exp ω + α ln + βψi−1 ,<br />

)<br />

φθ,δ(t ′ i−1 ) =<br />

4�<br />

j=1<br />

θjt ′j−1<br />

i−1 +<br />

φθ,δ(t ′ i−1<br />

G�<br />

g=1<br />

� � ′ 3<br />

δg t i−1 − πg + , (22)

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