20.11.2012 Views

recent developments in high frequency financial ... - Index of

recent developments in high frequency financial ... - Index of

recent developments in high frequency financial ... - Index of

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Table 5 (cont<strong>in</strong>ued)<br />

Variable Ask Bid<br />

Buy shock Sell shock Buy shock Sell shock<br />

Δabs(IRF) (%) Signif. (1%) Δabs(IRF) (%) Signif. (1%) Δabs(IRF) (%) Signif. (1%) Δabs(IRF) (%) Signif. (1%)<br />

NYSE 1996 S M L I D S M L I D S M L I D S M L I D<br />

All stocks<br />

Tt −0.44 −1.66 −4.00 7 24 −1.15 −4.76 −0.90 11 19 −0.03 0.89 3.05 16 14 −0.04 0.15 3.37 13 18<br />

Rt 0.46 2.56 7.53 31 1 1.65 9.31 26.21 22 9 1.84 11.74 33.64 25 5 0.46 2.51 7.69 29 4<br />

OIt 0.84 −1.51 −6.20 1 32 0.12 1.29 6.75 26 5 3.80 −1.04 −4.68 3 28 −0.65 1.19 5.10 29 4<br />

Mt −49.80 0 22 −92.80 0 5 −96.64<br />

0<br />

0 3<br />

10<br />

1<br />

−54.12<br />

0 1<br />

0 22<br />

1 0 AaB;t AaB;t at<br />

B 0 1 AbB;t AbS;t C bt<br />

This table reports the result <strong>of</strong> simulat<strong>in</strong>g a unitary trade−related shock us<strong>in</strong>g the VEC model, B<br />

C<br />

@ 0 0 1 0 A x<br />

0 0 0 1<br />

B t<br />

xS B C<br />

B C<br />

@ A<br />

t<br />

¼<br />

EC<br />

a L ð Þ<br />

EC<br />

b L B ð ÞC<br />

B C<br />

@<br />

BðLÞ A<br />

SðLÞ st 1 þ AtðLÞ at 1<br />

bt 1<br />

ex B 0 1<br />

B C<br />

B C<br />

@ A<br />

t 1<br />

þ<br />

ua t<br />

ub t<br />

uB 0 1<br />

B C<br />

B C<br />

@ A<br />

t<br />

with the restrictions,At<br />

0<br />

1<br />

AaaðLÞ 0 AaB;tðLÞ AaS;tðLÞ B 0 AbbðLÞ AbB;tðLÞ AbS;tðLÞ C<br />

ðLÞ ¼ B<br />

C<br />

@ ABaðLÞ 0 ABB;tðLÞ ABS;tðLÞAwhen we alter the level <strong>of</strong> the exogenous variables <strong>in</strong> the<br />

0 ASbðLÞ ASB;tðLÞ ASS;tðLÞ ex S t 1 uS t<br />

autoregressive matrix. The exogenous variables are: trade durations (Tt), short-term volatility (Rt), order imbalance (OIt), and a dummy variable that identifies<br />

regional market trades (Mt). The error-correction term is the bid-ask spread. The endogenous variables are the change <strong>in</strong> the ask quote (Δat) and the bid quote (Δbt),<br />

and trade-size <strong>in</strong>dicators for buys ex B t and for sells ex S t<br />

We use data on 11 NYSE-listed stocks from January to March 1996, 11 NYSE-listed stocks from January to March 2000, and 11 SSE stocks from July to September<br />

2000. For each stock, we compute the response <strong>of</strong> ask and bid prices to both a buyer-<strong>in</strong>itiated shock and a seller-<strong>in</strong>itiated shock, 500 periods ahead. The impact<br />

depends on the level <strong>of</strong> several exogenous variables that feature the trade and the market conditions. Three levels <strong>of</strong> each variable are considered: “small” (S),<br />

“medium” (M), and “large” (L), obta<strong>in</strong>ed from the 25%, 75%, and 95% percentiles <strong>of</strong> the empirical distribution. For the Mt dummy, we compare the impact <strong>of</strong> a<br />

NYSE trade with the impact <strong>of</strong> a regional trade. This table reports the average relative change (<strong>in</strong> %) across stocks <strong>in</strong> the total impact <strong>of</strong> a unitary trade-related shock<br />

when the exogenous variable <strong>in</strong>creases from zero to S, from zero to M, and from zero to L. We also provide the number <strong>of</strong> stocks <strong>in</strong> each subsample for which the<br />

absolute IRF significantly <strong>in</strong>creases/decreases as we <strong>in</strong>crease the level <strong>of</strong> the correspond<strong>in</strong>g exogenous variable<br />

Asymmetries <strong>in</strong> bid and ask responses to <strong>in</strong>novations <strong>in</strong> the trad<strong>in</strong>g process 75

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!