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comdirect<br />
Germany/Financial Services Analyser<br />
comdirect (Hold)<br />
Hold<br />
Recommendation unchanged<br />
Share price: EUR<br />
closing price as of 07/05/2012<br />
Target price: EUR<br />
Target Price unchanged<br />
Reuters/Bloomberg<br />
8.60<br />
8.50<br />
CDBG.DE/COM GR<br />
Market capitalisation (EURm) 1,211<br />
Current N° of shares (m) 141<br />
Free float 20%<br />
Daily avg. no. trad. sh. 12 mth 54,244<br />
Daily avg. trad. vol. 12 mth (m) 0<br />
Price high 12 mth (EUR) 8.86<br />
Price low 12 mth (EUR) 6.38<br />
Abs. perf. 1 mth -0.58%<br />
Abs. perf. 3 mth 5.10%<br />
Abs. perf. 12 mth -0.35%<br />
Key financials (EUR) 12/11 12/12e 12/13e<br />
Total Revenue (m) 347 337 336<br />
Pre-Provision Profit (PPP) (m) 115 101 94<br />
Operating profit (OP) 114 100 94<br />
Earnings Before Tax (m) 108 100 94<br />
Net Profit (adj.) (m) 112 73 67<br />
Shareholders Equity (m) 547 547 547<br />
Tangible BV (m) 547 547 547<br />
RWA (m) 514 591 680<br />
ROE (adj.) 21.1% 13.4% 12.3%<br />
Tier1 Ratio 44.1% 40.2% 36.5%<br />
Cost/Income 66.8% 70.0% 71.9%<br />
P/PPP 9.1 12.0 12.8<br />
P/E (adj.) 9.4 16.5 18.0<br />
P/BV 1.9 2.2 2.2<br />
P/NAV 1.9 2.2 2.2<br />
Dividend Yield 6.5% 6.0% 5.6%<br />
PPPPS 0.82 0.72 0.67<br />
EPS (adj.) 0.79 0.52 0.48<br />
BVPS 3.89 3.89 3.89<br />
NAVPS 3.89 3.89 3.89<br />
DPS 0.56 0.52 0.48<br />
9.0 vvdsvdvsdy<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
Apr 11 Mai 11 Jun 11 Jul 11 Aug 11 Sep 11 Okt 11 Nov 11 Dez 11 Jan 12 Feb 12 Mrz 12 Apr 12 Mai 12<br />
Source: Factset<br />
COMDIRECT Stoxx Financial Services (Rebased)<br />
Shareholders: Commerzbank 80%;<br />
Analyst(s):<br />
Philipp Häßler, CFA, Equinet Bank<br />
philipp.haessler@equinet-ag.de<br />
+49 69 58997 414<br />
Solid April trading figures<br />
The facts: In April the number of executed trades increased by 12% yoy (-11%<br />
mom) and comdirect won 2,660 new B2C clients. Main drivers (like in previous<br />
months) were the checking account (+7,012 acc.) and the Tagesgeld PLUS<br />
account (+5,580 acc.).<br />
# transactions<br />
Our analysis:<br />
1,100,000<br />
1,050,000<br />
1,000,000<br />
950,000<br />
900,000<br />
850,000<br />
800,000<br />
750,000<br />
700,000<br />
650,000<br />
600,000<br />
550,000<br />
500,000<br />
01 '11<br />
Monthly development of executed transactions at comdirect<br />
02 '11<br />
Conclusion & Action: Solid monthly trading figures for April. We do not see any<br />
share price triggers in the short term. Hence, we stick to our Hold rating with a TP<br />
of EUR 8.50.<br />
Page 49 of 80 European Securities Network<br />
Please refer to important disclaimer on the last page<br />
03 '11<br />
04 '11<br />
05 '11<br />
06 '11<br />
07 '11<br />
08 '11<br />
09 '11<br />
Transactions change yoy<br />
10 '11<br />
11 '11<br />
12 '11<br />
01 '12<br />
02 '12<br />
03 '12<br />
Source: comdirect, equinet<br />
04 '12<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
-20%