Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
Rheinmetall<br />
Germany/Aerospace & Defence Analyser<br />
$nomcompagnie$ (Accumulate)<br />
Accumulate<br />
Recommendation unchanged<br />
Share price: EUR<br />
closing price as of 07/05/2012<br />
Target price: EUR<br />
Target Price unchanged<br />
Reuters/Bloomberg<br />
38.12<br />
52.00<br />
RHMG.DE/RHM GR<br />
Market capitalisation (EURm) 1,460<br />
Current N° of shares (m) 38<br />
Free float 86%<br />
Daily avg. no. trad. sh. 12 mth 274,499<br />
Daily avg. trad. vol. 12 mth (m) 12<br />
Price high 12 mth (EUR) 64.43<br />
Price low 12 mth (EUR) 30.34<br />
Abs. perf. 1 mth -14.88%<br />
Abs. perf. 3 mth -13.61%<br />
Abs. perf. 12 mth -37.62%<br />
Key financials (EUR) 12/11 12/12e 12/13e<br />
Sales (m) 4,454 4,879 4,935<br />
EBITDA (m) 520 547 557<br />
EBITDA margin 11.7% 11.2% 11.3%<br />
EBIT (m) 336 346 350<br />
EBIT margin 7.5% 7.1% 7.1%<br />
Net Profit (adj.)(m) 213 213 202<br />
ROCE 9.0% 8.7% 8.4%<br />
Net debt/(cash) (m) 92 (8) (145)<br />
Net Debt/Equity 0.1 0.0 -0.1<br />
Debt/EBITDA 0.2 0.0 -0.3<br />
Int. cover(EBITDA/Fin. int) 11.8 12.8 13.4<br />
EV/Sales 0.5 0.5 0.4<br />
EV/EBITDA 4.1 4.0 3.8<br />
EV/EBITDA (adj.) 4.1 4.0 3.8<br />
EV/EBIT 6.3 6.4 6.0<br />
P/E (adj.) 6.3 7.0 7.4<br />
P/BV 0.9 1.0 0.9<br />
OpFCF yield 13.5% 13.5% 12.0%<br />
Dividend yield 4.7% 4.7% 4.5%<br />
EPS (adj.) 5.45 5.47 5.17<br />
BVPS 36.13 39.83 43.23<br />
DPS 1.80 1.80 1.70<br />
70 vvdsvdvsdy<br />
65<br />
60<br />
55<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
Apr 11 May 11 Jun 11 Jul 11 Aug 11 Sep 11 Oct 11 Nov 11 Dec 11 Jan 12 Feb 12 Mar 12 Apr 12 May 12<br />
Source: Factset<br />
RHEINMETALL Stoxx Aerospace & Defense (Rebased)<br />
Shareholders: Harris Associates 10%; Treasury shares<br />
3%;<br />
Analyst(s):<br />
Adrian Pehl, CFA, Equinet Bank<br />
adrian.pehl@equinet-ag.de<br />
+49 69 58997 438<br />
RHM officially discloses Auto IPO plans<br />
The facts: According to yesterday‟s release, RHM plans the IPO of Automotive<br />
division in the first half of 2012 – depending on the capital markets environment.<br />
The aim is for KSPG <strong>AG</strong> to be listed in the Prime Standard segment of the<br />
Frankfurt Stock Exchange. After the IPO, Rheinmetall will initially remain majority<br />
shareholder in KSPG, but it intends to give up control in steps.<br />
Our analysis: RHM makes official what was rumoured quite some time before.<br />
The timing aspect will not be trivial again although the profitability of the unit has<br />
largely improved. Depending on the allocation of overhead cost and assets, we<br />
would roughly value the unit at EUR 875-925m.<br />
Conclusion & Action: We keep our rating and PT, but might still apply minor<br />
model changes as a result of the 1Q12 report.<br />
Page 71 of 80 European Securities Network<br />
Please refer to important disclaimer on the last page