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GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO

GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO

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90<br />

Interval 6 seconds<br />

Figure 8.1 — Example of a wave record. In an analysis the<br />

waves marked with arrows are ignored<br />

sea surface above a fixed point plotted against time, i.e.<br />

it represents the up-and-down movement of a floating<br />

body on the sea surface as it is seen by the observer, and<br />

is included to illustrate the main difficulty in visually<br />

observing height and period — the irregularity of the<br />

waves. The pattern shown is typical of the sea surface,<br />

because waves invariably travel in irregular groups of<br />

perhaps five to 20 waves with relatively calm areas in<br />

between groups.<br />

It is essential that the observer should note the<br />

height and period of the higher waves in the centre of<br />

each group; the flat and badly formed waves (marked<br />

with arrows) in the area between the groups must be<br />

entirely omitted. The analysis should therefore include:<br />

• Height and period: that is the mean height and<br />

period of about 15–20 well-formed waves from the<br />

centres of the groups; of course all these waves<br />

cannot be consecutive;<br />

• Wave direction: the direction from which the waves<br />

come should be noted, and reported to the nearest<br />

10° on the scale 01–36, as for wind direction. For<br />

example, waves arriving from the west (270°)<br />

should be reported as direction 27. Where more<br />

than one wave train is clearly identifiable, the direction<br />

as well as an observed height and period<br />

should be reported for each such train.<br />

The observer must bear in mind that only good<br />

estimates are to be reported. Rough guesses will have<br />

little value, and can even be worse than no estimate at<br />

all. The quality of observations must have priority over<br />

their quantity. If only two, or even one, of the three<br />

elements (height, period, direction) can be measured, or<br />

really well estimated (e.g. at night), the other element(s)<br />

could be omitted and the report would still be of value.<br />

When different wave trains — for example sea and<br />

swell or several swells — are merged, the heights do not<br />

combine linearly. Wave energy is related to the square of<br />

the wave height and it is the energy which is additive.<br />

Consequently, when two or more wave trains are<br />

combined, the resultant height is determined from the<br />

square root of the sum of the squares of the separate<br />

trains:<br />

2 2<br />

H = H + H . (8.1)<br />

combined sea swell<br />

More than one swell train can be combined if necessary.<br />

The following possible systematic errors in the<br />

observation of waves should be borne in mind by an<br />

observer:<br />

(a) Waves running against a current are steeper and<br />

usually higher than when in still water, while they are<br />

<strong>GUIDE</strong> TO <strong>WAVE</strong> <strong>ANALYSIS</strong> <strong>AND</strong> <strong>FORECASTING</strong><br />

lower when running with the current. Observers may<br />

not necessarily be aware of this in a given case;<br />

(b) Refraction effects due to bottom topography in<br />

shallow water may also cause an increase or<br />

decrease in wave height;<br />

(c) Waves observed from a large ship seem smaller<br />

than those same waves observed from a small ship.<br />

8.3.1.1 Observations from merchant ships<br />

A traditional source of wave information has been from<br />

so-called ships of opportunity. Given the lack of surfacebased<br />

measurements of waves on the open ocean, the<br />

coverage offered by merchant shipping has been utilized<br />

in the <strong>WMO</strong> Voluntary Observing Ship (VOS)<br />

Programme. The participating ships report weather<br />

information including visual observations of waves. The<br />

guidelines for making these observations are set down in<br />

the <strong>WMO</strong> Guide to meteorological instruments and<br />

methods of observation (<strong>WMO</strong>, 1996, see Part II,<br />

Chapter 4).<br />

HEIGHT<br />

With some experience, fairly reliable estimates of height<br />

can be made. To estimate heights of waves which have<br />

relatively short lengths with respect to the length of the<br />

ship, the observer should take up a position as low down<br />

in the ship as possible, preferably amidships, where the<br />

pitching is least violent, and on the side of the ship from<br />

which the waves are coming. Observations should be<br />

made during the intervals, which occur every now and<br />

then, when the rolling of the ship temporarily ceases.<br />

In the case of waves longer than the ship, the<br />

preceding method fails because the ship as a whole rises<br />

over the wave. Under these circumstances, the best<br />

results are obtained when the observer moves up or down<br />

in the ship until, when the ship is in the wave trough, the<br />

oncoming waves appear just level with the horizon. The<br />

wave height is then equal to the height of the eye of the<br />

observer above the level of the water beneath him. By far<br />

the most difficult case is that in which the wave height is<br />

small and the wavelength exceeds the length of the ship.<br />

The best estimate of height can be obtained by going as<br />

near to the water as possible, but even then the observation<br />

can only be approximate.<br />

An observer on a ship can often distinguish waves<br />

coming from more than one direction. Wave characteristics<br />

from each direction must be reported separately;<br />

only the waves under the influence of the local wind (i.e.<br />

of the same direction as the local wind) are termed sea,<br />

the others are, by definition, swell and should be<br />

reported as such. Sometimes it is possible to distinguish<br />

more than one swell train, and each such wave train<br />

should be reported separately as swell.<br />

PERIOD <strong>AND</strong> DIRECTION<br />

Period and direction can be reported as outlined in<br />

Section 8.3.1. The period of waves can often be estimated<br />

by watching a patch of foam or other floating

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