GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO
GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO
GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO
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90<br />
Interval 6 seconds<br />
Figure 8.1 — Example of a wave record. In an analysis the<br />
waves marked with arrows are ignored<br />
sea surface above a fixed point plotted against time, i.e.<br />
it represents the up-and-down movement of a floating<br />
body on the sea surface as it is seen by the observer, and<br />
is included to illustrate the main difficulty in visually<br />
observing height and period — the irregularity of the<br />
waves. The pattern shown is typical of the sea surface,<br />
because waves invariably travel in irregular groups of<br />
perhaps five to 20 waves with relatively calm areas in<br />
between groups.<br />
It is essential that the observer should note the<br />
height and period of the higher waves in the centre of<br />
each group; the flat and badly formed waves (marked<br />
with arrows) in the area between the groups must be<br />
entirely omitted. The analysis should therefore include:<br />
• Height and period: that is the mean height and<br />
period of about 15–20 well-formed waves from the<br />
centres of the groups; of course all these waves<br />
cannot be consecutive;<br />
• Wave direction: the direction from which the waves<br />
come should be noted, and reported to the nearest<br />
10° on the scale 01–36, as for wind direction. For<br />
example, waves arriving from the west (270°)<br />
should be reported as direction 27. Where more<br />
than one wave train is clearly identifiable, the direction<br />
as well as an observed height and period<br />
should be reported for each such train.<br />
The observer must bear in mind that only good<br />
estimates are to be reported. Rough guesses will have<br />
little value, and can even be worse than no estimate at<br />
all. The quality of observations must have priority over<br />
their quantity. If only two, or even one, of the three<br />
elements (height, period, direction) can be measured, or<br />
really well estimated (e.g. at night), the other element(s)<br />
could be omitted and the report would still be of value.<br />
When different wave trains — for example sea and<br />
swell or several swells — are merged, the heights do not<br />
combine linearly. Wave energy is related to the square of<br />
the wave height and it is the energy which is additive.<br />
Consequently, when two or more wave trains are<br />
combined, the resultant height is determined from the<br />
square root of the sum of the squares of the separate<br />
trains:<br />
2 2<br />
H = H + H . (8.1)<br />
combined sea swell<br />
More than one swell train can be combined if necessary.<br />
The following possible systematic errors in the<br />
observation of waves should be borne in mind by an<br />
observer:<br />
(a) Waves running against a current are steeper and<br />
usually higher than when in still water, while they are<br />
<strong>GUIDE</strong> TO <strong>WAVE</strong> <strong>ANALYSIS</strong> <strong>AND</strong> <strong>FORECASTING</strong><br />
lower when running with the current. Observers may<br />
not necessarily be aware of this in a given case;<br />
(b) Refraction effects due to bottom topography in<br />
shallow water may also cause an increase or<br />
decrease in wave height;<br />
(c) Waves observed from a large ship seem smaller<br />
than those same waves observed from a small ship.<br />
8.3.1.1 Observations from merchant ships<br />
A traditional source of wave information has been from<br />
so-called ships of opportunity. Given the lack of surfacebased<br />
measurements of waves on the open ocean, the<br />
coverage offered by merchant shipping has been utilized<br />
in the <strong>WMO</strong> Voluntary Observing Ship (VOS)<br />
Programme. The participating ships report weather<br />
information including visual observations of waves. The<br />
guidelines for making these observations are set down in<br />
the <strong>WMO</strong> Guide to meteorological instruments and<br />
methods of observation (<strong>WMO</strong>, 1996, see Part II,<br />
Chapter 4).<br />
HEIGHT<br />
With some experience, fairly reliable estimates of height<br />
can be made. To estimate heights of waves which have<br />
relatively short lengths with respect to the length of the<br />
ship, the observer should take up a position as low down<br />
in the ship as possible, preferably amidships, where the<br />
pitching is least violent, and on the side of the ship from<br />
which the waves are coming. Observations should be<br />
made during the intervals, which occur every now and<br />
then, when the rolling of the ship temporarily ceases.<br />
In the case of waves longer than the ship, the<br />
preceding method fails because the ship as a whole rises<br />
over the wave. Under these circumstances, the best<br />
results are obtained when the observer moves up or down<br />
in the ship until, when the ship is in the wave trough, the<br />
oncoming waves appear just level with the horizon. The<br />
wave height is then equal to the height of the eye of the<br />
observer above the level of the water beneath him. By far<br />
the most difficult case is that in which the wave height is<br />
small and the wavelength exceeds the length of the ship.<br />
The best estimate of height can be obtained by going as<br />
near to the water as possible, but even then the observation<br />
can only be approximate.<br />
An observer on a ship can often distinguish waves<br />
coming from more than one direction. Wave characteristics<br />
from each direction must be reported separately;<br />
only the waves under the influence of the local wind (i.e.<br />
of the same direction as the local wind) are termed sea,<br />
the others are, by definition, swell and should be<br />
reported as such. Sometimes it is possible to distinguish<br />
more than one swell train, and each such wave train<br />
should be reported separately as swell.<br />
PERIOD <strong>AND</strong> DIRECTION<br />
Period and direction can be reported as outlined in<br />
Section 8.3.1. The period of waves can often be estimated<br />
by watching a patch of foam or other floating