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GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO

GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO

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48<br />

Storm<br />

2<br />

1<br />

Rp<br />

Rp<br />

Rp<br />

t = = = 0. 660 (h).<br />

c 1. 515T<br />

T<br />

g<br />

R p<br />

P<br />

R<br />

<strong>GUIDE</strong> TO <strong>WAVE</strong> <strong>ANALYSIS</strong> <strong>AND</strong> <strong>FORECASTING</strong><br />

Storm<br />

A possible new swell<br />

arriving later<br />

Figure 4.4 — Swell from a distant storm. Waves travelling in<br />

the direction of P have been generated over a<br />

time period D p<br />

(4.4)<br />

These components continue to arrive over a period of D p<br />

hours, then they disappear. D p is determined from<br />

weather charts by examining how long a given fetch<br />

remained in a given area. In the meantime, slower wave<br />

components have arrived and each component is<br />

assumed, in the present example, to last for D p hours.<br />

There is a wave component which is so slow that it starts<br />

to arrive at the moment when the fastest wave component<br />

present is about to disappear (compare boxes 1<br />

and 2 in Figure 4.4). The first wave of the slow component<br />

(box 2) with period T 2 has travelled over a time<br />

of t hours; the last wave of the fast component (box 1)<br />

with period T1 has started out Dp hours later and has thus<br />

travelled over a time of (t – Dp) hours. We have, for the<br />

slow component:<br />

Rp<br />

Rp<br />

T2<br />

= = 0. 660 ( s)<br />

(4.5)<br />

1. 515 t t<br />

and, for the fast component:<br />

or<br />

(4.6)<br />

(Rp is measured in n.mi.; t and Dp in hours.)<br />

T1 and T2 are the limits of all wave periods which<br />

can possibly be present at P at a given time of observation.<br />

Some periods within this range may actually not<br />

be present in the observed wave spectrum; the components<br />

could be dissipated during their long travel<br />

outside the storm area. It can easily be shown from the<br />

above equations that the range of possible wave<br />

frequencies is given by:<br />

Dp<br />

f1 – f2<br />

= 1. 515 .<br />

R<br />

(4.7)<br />

This means that the band width (range) of frequencies of<br />

wave components, which exist at a given point of observation,<br />

is a constant for that point and depends on the<br />

duration of wave generation, D p. The range of frequencies<br />

becomes smaller at greater distances from the storm.<br />

This result, obtained from a schematic model, is indeed<br />

observed. Thus, as the result of wave dispersion, swell<br />

attains a more regular appearance at greater travel<br />

distances.<br />

Example of swell from a distant storm<br />

Problem:<br />

Waves were generated in the direction R for a period of<br />

18 h. The highest wave period generated in the storm<br />

was 15 s. Forecast swell for point A at 600 n.mi. and for<br />

point B at 1 000 n.mi. from the area of generation.<br />

Compute when the first waves arrive and which periods<br />

could possibly be present during the subsequent 36 h.<br />

Solution:<br />

T<br />

R c t– D 1. 515 T1t– D<br />

1 =<br />

= ( ) = ( )<br />

p g p p<br />

Rp<br />

1. 515 t– D<br />

( ) =<br />

p<br />

Rp<br />

0. 660 () s<br />

t– D<br />

At point A, R p = 600 n.mi.; D p = 18 h; T max = 15 s.<br />

From Equation 4.4 the first waves arrive at<br />

t = 0.660 x 600/15 = 26.4 h after the beginning of the<br />

storm. These waves continue for 18 h after they first<br />

arrive.<br />

The range of periods (T 1 – T 2) at point A are<br />

computed for the 36 h subsequent to the arrival time<br />

of the first wave at 6 h intervals beginning with 30 h<br />

after the storm as shown in Table 4.6. The range<br />

of wavelengths can also be given using the relation<br />

λ = 1.56 T 2 (m). The wave components with a period of<br />

15 s disappear after t = 44.4 h.<br />

p<br />

p

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