GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO
GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO
GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO
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48<br />
Storm<br />
2<br />
1<br />
Rp<br />
Rp<br />
Rp<br />
t = = = 0. 660 (h).<br />
c 1. 515T<br />
T<br />
g<br />
R p<br />
P<br />
R<br />
<strong>GUIDE</strong> TO <strong>WAVE</strong> <strong>ANALYSIS</strong> <strong>AND</strong> <strong>FORECASTING</strong><br />
Storm<br />
A possible new swell<br />
arriving later<br />
Figure 4.4 — Swell from a distant storm. Waves travelling in<br />
the direction of P have been generated over a<br />
time period D p<br />
(4.4)<br />
These components continue to arrive over a period of D p<br />
hours, then they disappear. D p is determined from<br />
weather charts by examining how long a given fetch<br />
remained in a given area. In the meantime, slower wave<br />
components have arrived and each component is<br />
assumed, in the present example, to last for D p hours.<br />
There is a wave component which is so slow that it starts<br />
to arrive at the moment when the fastest wave component<br />
present is about to disappear (compare boxes 1<br />
and 2 in Figure 4.4). The first wave of the slow component<br />
(box 2) with period T 2 has travelled over a time<br />
of t hours; the last wave of the fast component (box 1)<br />
with period T1 has started out Dp hours later and has thus<br />
travelled over a time of (t – Dp) hours. We have, for the<br />
slow component:<br />
Rp<br />
Rp<br />
T2<br />
= = 0. 660 ( s)<br />
(4.5)<br />
1. 515 t t<br />
and, for the fast component:<br />
or<br />
(4.6)<br />
(Rp is measured in n.mi.; t and Dp in hours.)<br />
T1 and T2 are the limits of all wave periods which<br />
can possibly be present at P at a given time of observation.<br />
Some periods within this range may actually not<br />
be present in the observed wave spectrum; the components<br />
could be dissipated during their long travel<br />
outside the storm area. It can easily be shown from the<br />
above equations that the range of possible wave<br />
frequencies is given by:<br />
Dp<br />
f1 – f2<br />
= 1. 515 .<br />
R<br />
(4.7)<br />
This means that the band width (range) of frequencies of<br />
wave components, which exist at a given point of observation,<br />
is a constant for that point and depends on the<br />
duration of wave generation, D p. The range of frequencies<br />
becomes smaller at greater distances from the storm.<br />
This result, obtained from a schematic model, is indeed<br />
observed. Thus, as the result of wave dispersion, swell<br />
attains a more regular appearance at greater travel<br />
distances.<br />
Example of swell from a distant storm<br />
Problem:<br />
Waves were generated in the direction R for a period of<br />
18 h. The highest wave period generated in the storm<br />
was 15 s. Forecast swell for point A at 600 n.mi. and for<br />
point B at 1 000 n.mi. from the area of generation.<br />
Compute when the first waves arrive and which periods<br />
could possibly be present during the subsequent 36 h.<br />
Solution:<br />
T<br />
R c t– D 1. 515 T1t– D<br />
1 =<br />
= ( ) = ( )<br />
p g p p<br />
Rp<br />
1. 515 t– D<br />
( ) =<br />
p<br />
Rp<br />
0. 660 () s<br />
t– D<br />
At point A, R p = 600 n.mi.; D p = 18 h; T max = 15 s.<br />
From Equation 4.4 the first waves arrive at<br />
t = 0.660 x 600/15 = 26.4 h after the beginning of the<br />
storm. These waves continue for 18 h after they first<br />
arrive.<br />
The range of periods (T 1 – T 2) at point A are<br />
computed for the 36 h subsequent to the arrival time<br />
of the first wave at 6 h intervals beginning with 30 h<br />
after the storm as shown in Table 4.6. The range<br />
of wavelengths can also be given using the relation<br />
λ = 1.56 T 2 (m). The wave components with a period of<br />
15 s disappear after t = 44.4 h.<br />
p<br />
p