14.12.2012 Views

GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO

GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO

GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

104<br />

Figure 9.3 —<br />

Percentage<br />

exceedance of<br />

significant wave<br />

height, H s, and the<br />

most likely highest<br />

wave in three<br />

hours, H max,3h,<br />

from measurements<br />

(12 520<br />

valid observations,<br />

including six<br />

calms), at threehour<br />

intervals at<br />

OWS “Lima”,<br />

December 1975 to<br />

November 1981<br />

(xx=H max,3h;<br />

++=H s) (from<br />

HMSO, 1985)<br />

Percentage exceedance<br />

provide useful indications of possible errors in the data.<br />

Of course, no data should be totally discarded simply<br />

because they do not meet some criteria without further<br />

investigation.<br />

Before progressing, it is important to examine the<br />

results so far to see whether to analyse the entire data<br />

set as a whole or whether to divide it in any way to<br />

separate values arising from different physical realizations.<br />

It is most important when analysing data from<br />

sites affected by tropical storms to separate out those<br />

caused by such storms — see Section 9.4.3. The occur-<br />

<strong>GUIDE</strong> TO <strong>WAVE</strong> <strong>ANALYSIS</strong> <strong>AND</strong> <strong>FORECASTING</strong><br />

Wave height (m)<br />

rence of mixed distributions has occasionally been<br />

reported from some sites. For example, Resio (1978)<br />

found that wave heights off Cape Hatteras, North<br />

Carolina, hindcast from storm winds could be better<br />

explained by fitting different distributions depending<br />

upon the storm tracks.<br />

In most parts of the world there is a marked<br />

seasonal variation in wave conditions. In higher latitudes,<br />

for example, generally much higher waves occur<br />

in the winter than in the summer and Dattatri (1973)<br />

reports higher waves off the west coast of India during<br />

Figure 9.4 — Joint distribution (scatter plot) of significant wave height, H s, and zero-upcrossing period,<br />

T – z, from measurements (12 520 valid observations, including six calms), at three-hour intervals<br />

at OWS “Lima”, December 1975 to November 1981 (Key: n – parts per thousand (PPT),<br />

n – number of occurrences (< 1 PPT) (from HMSO, 1985)

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!