GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO
GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO
GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO
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58<br />
Time t<br />
Initial state<br />
E(f, θ; x, t)<br />
Wave data<br />
HINDCAST<br />
numerical/manual<br />
Wind<br />
Atmospheric<br />
<strong>ANALYSIS</strong><br />
Figure 5.1 — The elements of wave modelling<br />
5.3 The wave energy-balance equation<br />
The concepts described in Chapter 3 are represented in<br />
wave models in a variety of ways. The most general<br />
formulation for computer models based on the elements<br />
in Figure 5.1 involves the spectral energy-balance equation<br />
which describes the development of the surface<br />
gravity wave field in time and space:<br />
∂E<br />
∂t +∇•cgE ( ) = S = Sin + Snl + Sds (5.1)<br />
where:<br />
E = E(f,θ,x,t) is the two-dimensional wave spectrum<br />
(surface variance spectrum) depending<br />
on frequency, f, and direction of propagation,<br />
θ;<br />
c g = c g(f,θ) is the deep-water group velocity;<br />
S is the net source function, consisting of<br />
three terms:<br />
S in: energy input by the wind;<br />
S nl: non-linear energy transfer by wavewave<br />
interactions; and<br />
S ds: dissipation.<br />
<strong>GUIDE</strong> TO <strong>WAVE</strong> <strong>ANALYSIS</strong> <strong>AND</strong> <strong>FORECASTING</strong><br />
Wave growth<br />
Propagation<br />
Refraction<br />
Shoaling<br />
Non-linear<br />
interactions<br />
Dissipation<br />
Atmospheric<br />
forcing<br />
∂E (f, θ; x, t)<br />
∂t<br />
=<br />
-∇ • (c g E)<br />
∂<br />
- (∇ θ • cgE) ∂θ<br />
+<br />
S nl<br />
+<br />
S ds<br />
+<br />
S in<br />
This form of the equation is valid for deep water with no<br />
refraction and no significant currents.<br />
5.4 Elements of wave modelling<br />
The essence of wave modelling is to solve the energybalance<br />
equation written down in Equation 5.1. This first<br />
requires the definition of starting values for the wave<br />
energy, or initial conditions which in turn requires<br />
definition of the source terms on the right hand side of<br />
Equation 5.1 and a method for solving changes as time<br />
progresses.<br />
5.4.1 Initial conditions<br />
Time t + δt<br />
Modified state<br />
E(f, θ; x, t + δt)<br />
FORECAST<br />
Atmospheric<br />
FORECAST<br />
It is rare that we have a flat sea to work from, or that we<br />
have measurements which completely characterize the<br />
sea state at any one time.<br />
For computer models, the usual course of action is<br />
to start from a flat sea and “spin up” the model with the<br />
winds from a period of several days prior to the period<br />
of interest. We then have a hindcast derived for the<br />
initial time. For operational models this has to be done