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GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO

GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO

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58<br />

Time t<br />

Initial state<br />

E(f, θ; x, t)<br />

Wave data<br />

HINDCAST<br />

numerical/manual<br />

Wind<br />

Atmospheric<br />

<strong>ANALYSIS</strong><br />

Figure 5.1 — The elements of wave modelling<br />

5.3 The wave energy-balance equation<br />

The concepts described in Chapter 3 are represented in<br />

wave models in a variety of ways. The most general<br />

formulation for computer models based on the elements<br />

in Figure 5.1 involves the spectral energy-balance equation<br />

which describes the development of the surface<br />

gravity wave field in time and space:<br />

∂E<br />

∂t +∇•cgE ( ) = S = Sin + Snl + Sds (5.1)<br />

where:<br />

E = E(f,θ,x,t) is the two-dimensional wave spectrum<br />

(surface variance spectrum) depending<br />

on frequency, f, and direction of propagation,<br />

θ;<br />

c g = c g(f,θ) is the deep-water group velocity;<br />

S is the net source function, consisting of<br />

three terms:<br />

S in: energy input by the wind;<br />

S nl: non-linear energy transfer by wavewave<br />

interactions; and<br />

S ds: dissipation.<br />

<strong>GUIDE</strong> TO <strong>WAVE</strong> <strong>ANALYSIS</strong> <strong>AND</strong> <strong>FORECASTING</strong><br />

Wave growth<br />

Propagation<br />

Refraction<br />

Shoaling<br />

Non-linear<br />

interactions<br />

Dissipation<br />

Atmospheric<br />

forcing<br />

∂E (f, θ; x, t)<br />

∂t<br />

=<br />

-∇ • (c g E)<br />

∂<br />

- (∇ θ • cgE) ∂θ<br />

+<br />

S nl<br />

+<br />

S ds<br />

+<br />

S in<br />

This form of the equation is valid for deep water with no<br />

refraction and no significant currents.<br />

5.4 Elements of wave modelling<br />

The essence of wave modelling is to solve the energybalance<br />

equation written down in Equation 5.1. This first<br />

requires the definition of starting values for the wave<br />

energy, or initial conditions which in turn requires<br />

definition of the source terms on the right hand side of<br />

Equation 5.1 and a method for solving changes as time<br />

progresses.<br />

5.4.1 Initial conditions<br />

Time t + δt<br />

Modified state<br />

E(f, θ; x, t + δt)<br />

FORECAST<br />

Atmospheric<br />

FORECAST<br />

It is rare that we have a flat sea to work from, or that we<br />

have measurements which completely characterize the<br />

sea state at any one time.<br />

For computer models, the usual course of action is<br />

to start from a flat sea and “spin up” the model with the<br />

winds from a period of several days prior to the period<br />

of interest. We then have a hindcast derived for the<br />

initial time. For operational models this has to be done

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