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GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO

GUIDE WAVE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING - WMO

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52<br />

120 n.mi., estimate the swell heights in the cases<br />

described in Sections 4.4.1 and 4.4.2 with the experience<br />

gained from Section 4.4.3.<br />

Solution 4.4.1:<br />

In Section 4.4.1, the distance to point A is 600 n.mi., or<br />

five times the fetch width. From Figure 3.3, the angular<br />

spreading factor is about 12 per cent. Thus, the characteristic<br />

height of the swell arriving at A should be less<br />

than √0.12 x 12 = 4.2 m.<br />

We can determine the dispersion factor from the<br />

same PNJ graph as before (see Annex IV), but we have<br />

to determine an effective wind speed since only the<br />

wave height is known. The effective wind speed is<br />

determined by following the line for a 15 s period on<br />

the PNJ graph to where it intersects the given wave<br />

height. We can determine the effective wind speed from<br />

the intersection point, in this case 21.5 m/s (43 kn).<br />

Then we determine the E values, and compute the<br />

dispersion factors as in Section 4.3.3. Since the swell<br />

spectrum is broadest at 42 h, the wave heights are highest<br />

at that time. The dispersion factor is about 0.8<br />

giving a multiplier of about 0.9 which leads to a characteristic<br />

wave height of about 3.7 m when angular<br />

spreading is included in the computation.<br />

The height is very small at first, when only long<br />

waves arrive at A. The wave heights are highest in<br />

the period between 40 h and 50 h (see Table 4.6), since<br />

the swell spectrum has its greatest width during that<br />

period.<br />

The distance to point B equals about eight times<br />

the width of the fetch area, which leads to an angular<br />

spreading factor of about 6 per cent; therefore the swell<br />

heights at point B should be no more than 2.9 m.<br />

Considering that the wave dispersion must have<br />

progressed further from point A to point B and that the<br />

smaller components may have been dissipated on their<br />

long journey as a result of internal friction and air<br />

resistance, we can compute, from PNJ, wave dispersion<br />

factors for each arrival time. The widest part of the<br />

spectrum, with the highest heights, passes point B<br />

about 60 h after generation. The dispersion factor for<br />

this time is about 0.6, so the multiplier is about<br />

0.8; therefore, the characteristic swell height will be<br />

about 2.3 m.<br />

Solution 4.4.2:<br />

In Section 4.4.2, the swell spectrum at point A is more<br />

complex. There is a range of generation wave periods<br />

from 12 to 15 s. There is also a limited fetch (180<br />

n.mi.). The highest characteristic waves possible differ<br />

for each of these wave limits.<br />

To determine these wave period limits, we use the<br />

distorted co-cumulative spectra for wind speeds<br />

10–44 kn as a function of fetch from PNJ. To ascertain<br />

the maximum characteristic wave height for the 15 s<br />

waves, we trace the 15 s period line to where it intersects<br />

the 180 n.mi. fetch line and read the wave height<br />

<strong>GUIDE</strong> TO <strong>WAVE</strong> <strong>ANALYSIS</strong> <strong>AND</strong> <strong>FORECASTING</strong><br />

(4.5 m = 14.8 ft). We also find an effective wind speed<br />

for these waves (13 m/s = 26 kn). Likewise we discover<br />

these values for the 12 s waves (characteristic wave<br />

height = 4.8 m = 15.8 ft, and effective wind speed = 14<br />

m/s = 28 kn). The E values (energy proportions) are<br />

determined in the same way as before.<br />

By comparing the 15 s and 12 s wave heights after<br />

the dispersion factors have been taken into account for<br />

each forecast hour, we can show that the waves arriving<br />

at 60 h have the greatest characteristic heights. Recall,<br />

the angular spreading factor at point A is 12 per cent;<br />

this means the highest characteristics possible for<br />

these conditions have a height of about 1.7 m. The<br />

dispersion factor at 60 h is about 0.82 with the multiplier<br />

being about 0.9; thus, the waves arriving at point<br />

A at 60 h can have a characteristic height of no more<br />

than 1.5 m.<br />

4.5 Manual computation of shallow-water<br />

effects<br />

Several kinds of shallow-water effects (shoaling, refraction,<br />

diffraction, reflection, and bottom effects) are<br />

described elsewhere in this Guide. In this section, a few<br />

practical methods are described which have been taken<br />

from CERC (1977) and Gröen and Dorrestein (1976). In<br />

absolute terms, a useful rule of thumb is to disregard the<br />

effects of depth greater than about 40 m unless the waves<br />

are very long, i.e. if a large portion of the wave energy is<br />

in waves with periods greater than 10 s. Distinction is<br />

made between:<br />

(a) Swell originating from deep water entering a shallow<br />

area with variable depth; and<br />

(b) Wind waves with limited wave growth in shallow<br />

water with constant depth.<br />

More complicated cases with combinations of (a)<br />

and (b) will generally require the use of numerical<br />

models.<br />

Section 4.5.1 deals with shoaling and refraction of<br />

swell whose steepness is sufficiently small to avoid wave<br />

breaking after shoaling and focusing due to refraction. In<br />

Section 4.5.2 a diagram is presented for estimating wave<br />

heights and periods in water with constant depth.<br />

4.5.1 Shoaling and refraction of swell in a<br />

coastal zone<br />

In this section, wave decay due to dissipation by bottom<br />

friction and wave breaking is neglected. Shoaling and<br />

refraction generally occur simultaneously; however, they<br />

will be considered separately.<br />

4.5.1.1 Variation in wave height due to shoaling<br />

To obtain the shoaling factor, Ks, which represents the<br />

change of wave height (H) due to decreasing depth<br />

(without refraction), we need to consider the basic rule<br />

that energy flux must be conserved. Since energy is<br />

related to the square of the wave height (Sections 1.2.4<br />

and 1.3.8) and wave energy travels at the group velocity,

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