Addendum with evidence (8.2 MB) - Accreditation - Bakersfield ...

Age Range Changes, Effective Service Area
85 +
75 to 84
65 to 74
55 to 64
45 to 54
35 to 44
25 to 34
20 to 24
15 to 19
10 to 14
5 to 9
0 to 4
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%
35
2015f
2010f
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2000 Census of Population and Housing, ESRI forecasts for 2010 and 2015;
analysis by Cambridge West Partnership, LLC
In the immediate future, now through the year 2015, the 20 to 24 year age group in the
effective service area is forecast to be at 7.5%. The number of students in the 15 to 19 year age group
is projected to decrease by -8% between 2010 and 2015, and their percentage of the population will
also decline to 7.1% by 2015.
However, in 2010 the combined 15 to 19 and 20 to 24 year old groups is 16 percent of the
population. Throughout the state those two groups are only 14.9 percent of the population. Looking
forward to 2015 the combination of the two age groups in the effective service area is 14.6 percent of
the population but throughout the state it is only 13.9 percent of the population. Young people of
prime college-going age are a greater percentage of the population in the effective service area than is
the case throughout the state.
2000