Hedging Strategy and Electricity Contract Engineering - IFOR
Hedging Strategy and Electricity Contract Engineering - IFOR
Hedging Strategy and Electricity Contract Engineering - IFOR
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5.3 Relevance for electricity hedging 109<br />
hedged position will be locally immune to parallel shifts in the yield curve. A<br />
mayor drawback of the duration approach is however just the assumption that<br />
the yieldcurve will move in parallel shifts - not a very realistic assumption.<br />
5.3. Relevance for electricity hedging<br />
An important question is how one could leverage these traditional hedging<br />
approaches to the electricity market. The idea of closing down a positions<br />
<strong>and</strong> hence its risk by entering a replicating position is certainly a sound<br />
approach also in the electricity market. However, because of the complexity<br />
<strong>and</strong> the OTC characteristics of most electricity contracts, the replicating hedge<br />
approach would only be able to cover a small subset of all contracts.<br />
As already argued in Chapter 3.5, variance is not an appropriate risk measure<br />
in the electricity market, for example, because of the heavy tailed returns, why<br />
an optimal hedge ratio as described above would need to revised to fit the<br />
electricity market.<br />
Since the electricity market is incomplete, it may be difficult to obtain unique<br />
prices of electricity derivatives 4 <strong>and</strong> consequently sensitivities may not be<br />
obtained. The idea of delta <strong>and</strong> delta/gamma hedging will therefore be difficult<br />
to pursue.<br />
Even given that unique prices would exist for electricity derivatives, the nonstorability<br />
prevents us from taking the delta or delta/gamma hedge approach.<br />
The idea is to hold a certain amount (Å ) of the underlying in order to make the<br />
portfolio of the derivative <strong>and</strong> the underlying locally immune, but one cannot,<br />
because of its non-storability hold on to electricity. For options on a storable<br />
underlying, such as a future, the approach would however be theoretically<br />
feasible.<br />
A duration-like method is appropriate also in the electricity market only in the<br />
sense that a long position should be hedged with a short position of the same<br />
4 See Chapter 3.7.