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Hedging Strategy and Electricity Contract Engineering - IFOR

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R<br />

S x GaRKV is convex <strong>and</strong> continuously differentiable with respect to R , <strong>and</strong> U d S xV<br />

Fd<br />

is given as the minimization Fd S of GaRKV x with respect R to<br />

Furthermore the R<br />

that minimizes Fd S x GaRKV equals Red S xV<br />

M<br />

3.5 The need for a new risk measure 63<br />

max E lS x G YV<br />

x†ˆ‡<br />

n<br />

d S xV s.t. U C,<br />

(3.3)<br />

where the expected profit is maximized, subject to a constraint C on the risk,<br />

measured as CVaR with a confidence level of c .<br />

The function U d S xV is unfortunately in general not easy to h<strong>and</strong>le, especially<br />

not when involved in an optimization problem. This problem can however be<br />

avoided by introducing the similar function<br />

1<br />

1 c<br />

E lS x G Y V R<br />

Fd S x GaRKV<br />

G<br />

<strong>and</strong> by sharpening the assumptions needed to define VaR <strong>and</strong> CVaR, <strong>and</strong> also<br />

require that the distribution of Y does not depend on x <strong>and</strong> that lS x G YV is continuous<br />

in x. Under these assumptions [RU00] have shown the following two<br />

theorems<br />

Theorem 3.4<br />

min<br />

Fd S x G?RKV .<br />

U d S xV<br />

j †m‡<br />

left endpoint of argmin<br />

Fd S x GaRbV .<br />

Red S xV<br />

†ˆ‡ j<br />

The Fd S function GaRKV x cannot only be used to measure CVaR, it can also be<br />

used to manage a portfolio in a CVaR perspective, as seen in Theorem 3.5.<br />

Theorem 3.5<br />

U d S xV Minimizing with respect to x X is equivalent to Fd S minimizing G?RKV x<br />

over S all G@RbV x X in the sense that<br />

min<br />

X U d S xV min<br />

x†<br />

Fd S x GaRbV<br />

H xg j@L † X`‰‡

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