Hedging Strategy and Electricity Contract Engineering - IFOR
Hedging Strategy and Electricity Contract Engineering - IFOR
Hedging Strategy and Electricity Contract Engineering - IFOR
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6.4 Modeling of plants <strong>and</strong> their operational flexibility 123<br />
6.4.4. Run river plant, wind plant <strong>and</strong> solar plant<br />
As discussed in Chapter 4.6 there are no decisions involved in running these<br />
plant types. Their negative flexibility puts the decision, not in our h<strong>and</strong>s, but in<br />
the h<strong>and</strong>s of the weather. However, when modeling these plants it is important<br />
that the highly stochastic output is taken into account, since it negatively affects<br />
the risk level.<br />
6.4.5. Hydro storage plant<br />
Hydro management is an interesting <strong>and</strong> complex problem because water is a<br />
storable commodity, whereas electricity is not. The hydro management thus<br />
involves a continuous process of deciding whether to release water now or to<br />
store it <strong>and</strong> release it later on. The natural inflow does not have an explicit<br />
cost, but using the water for power production represents an opportunity cost<br />
to the owner, since there is only a limited supply available. Consequently, the<br />
operations of a hydro storage plant becomes a temporal resource allocation<br />
problem under uncertainty.<br />
6.4.5.1. Static dispatch strategy<br />
From Chapter 4.3 we know that a hydro storage plant equals a series of<br />
interdependent options. However, we will here, as an introduction derive<br />
a static dispatch strategy that does not take this optionality into account.<br />
Today, the dispatch in each period over the planning horizon is determined.<br />
The choice to produce or pump will not react to new information about,<br />
for example, inflow or spot price, but be totally static. Since the decision<br />
about exercising the option in each period is taken already today, we<br />
actually model the hydro storage plant as a series of hourly futures, not options.<br />
We recall the physical <strong>and</strong> the technical constraints of a hydro storage plant<br />
that any dispatch strategy Û x k Ý kâ 1ãåäæäæäçã K has to fulfill<br />
Û P 0 V k V max 1Ü k 1Ü<br />
Ý Ü K (6.2)<br />
á@áaá<br />
<strong>and</strong>