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Hedging Strategy and Electricity Contract Engineering - IFOR

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Chapter 3<br />

Risk management<br />

3.1. Overview<br />

Risk Management is the theory about how to h<strong>and</strong>le risks. The need for<br />

risk management comes with potentially risky <strong>and</strong> complex products, such<br />

as derivatives. The first st<strong>and</strong>ardized options were traded in 1973 when the<br />

Chicago Board Options Exchange began its operations. The same year the<br />

paper on valuation of options by Black <strong>and</strong> Scholes [BS73] was published,<br />

which helped to increase the number of derivative deals.<br />

There are to date no operational valuation model of electricity derivatives<br />

based on a sound academic ground, such as the Black & Scholes model [BS73]<br />

for equity derivatives. Nevertheless, the deregulation <strong>and</strong> the, with it coming,<br />

uncertain prices has developed a need for risk transferring products like options<br />

<strong>and</strong> futures. The difference is that while the traditional finance industry had<br />

tens of years to develop their methods to h<strong>and</strong>le risk, the electricity industry<br />

is facing at least the same risks, but has had only a few years to learn how to<br />

manage them.<br />

In Chapter 3.2 a motivation <strong>and</strong> introduction to risk management is given. The<br />

risks in the electricity market are introduced in Chapter 3.3. Some traditional<br />

risk management models are investigated in Chapter 3.4. Their shortcomings<br />

<strong>and</strong> the need for a new risk measure are discussed in Chapter 3.5. Multi period

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