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Hedging Strategy and Electricity Contract Engineering - IFOR

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Chapter 1<br />

Introduction<br />

1.1. Motivation<br />

The electricity market in Europe is going trough a big transition. From being<br />

a regulated market with no or very low uncertainty in future earnings, the<br />

market is now becoming liberalized <strong>and</strong> deregulated. <strong>Electricity</strong> prices are no<br />

longer determined by the regulator, but by the market. From the deregulated<br />

markets in, for example, California, Sweden <strong>and</strong> Norway, one has observed<br />

extremely volatile prices. For an electricity producing company this makes<br />

future earnings very uncertain <strong>and</strong> brings along a need for risk management.<br />

<strong>Electricity</strong> can be traded in a similar manner as stocks at power exchanges in,<br />

for example, Germany <strong>and</strong> Sc<strong>and</strong>inavia. There are however major differences<br />

between the traditional financial markets, such as the stock market, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

electricity market, like lacking liquidity, tremendous volatility, non-normal<br />

distributions, real option pricing problems <strong>and</strong> market incompleteness. The<br />

electricity market especially distinguishes itself by the transmission constraints<br />

<strong>and</strong> the non-storability of electricity. Because of the specific characteristics<br />

of electricity, like price jumps <strong>and</strong> the fact that producing companies are<br />

by nature long in electricity, the risk management ideas developed for the<br />

financial markets are not directly applicable to the electricity market.

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