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Diss. ETH No. 14727 Hedging Strateg
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Abstract This thesis studies risk m
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Zusammenfassung Die vorliegende Sch
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Contents Acknowledgements ¡ ¢ ¡
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Contents xi 5.1 Overview . . . . .
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List of Figures 2.1 Illustration of
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List of Figures xv 7.6 Marginal val
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List of Tables 2.1 Spot market bid.
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Chapter 1 Introduction 1.1. Motivat
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1.3 Structure of the thesis 5 hedge
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Chapter 2 The electricity market 2.
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2.1 Overview 9 Generation ¥ Distri
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2.2 Liberalization of the electrici
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duction cost Marginal pro © 2.3 Su
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2.4 Transmission costs 15 10 Peak l
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2.4 Transmission costs 17 destinati
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2.5 Demand 19 2.5. Demand Compared
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2.6 Special characteristics of elec
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2.7 Electricity contracts 23 tions.
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0& K $ 0& K K % + $ 2.7 Electricity
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2.7 Electricity contracts 27 2.7.2.
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04 04 2.7 Electricity contracts 29
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2.8 Power exchanges and pricing mec
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2.8 Power exchanges and pricing mec
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S 0 eH aIKJ 2.9 Price dynamic 35 To
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2.9 Price dynamic 37 400 2000 350 1
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2.9 Price dynamic 39 simple sinus f
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2.9 Price dynamic 41 1800 1800 1600
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2.10 Summary 43 To deal with the un
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Chapter 3 Risk management 3.1. Over
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3.3 The risks in the electricity ma
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3.3 The risks in the electricity ma
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3.4 Traditional risk management mod
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3.4 Traditional risk management mod
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3.4 Traditional risk management mod
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3.4 Traditional risk management mod
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l H xg yLihkjml f 3.5 The need for
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3.5 The need for a new risk measure
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R S x GaRKV is convex and continuou
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R P 3.6 Multi period risk managemen
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“ “ “ 3.7 Valuation models 67
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3.7 Valuation models 69 storability
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3.7 Valuation models 71 by introduc
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“ 3.7 Valuation models 73 formula
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Chapter 4 Contract engineering 4.1.
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4.2 Gas turbine 77 2000 1800 1600 1
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4.2 Gas turbine 79 220 200 Capped l
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4.3 Hydro storage plant 81 facilita
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¢ 4.3 Hydro storage plant 83 I k L
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x k xœk x «k š xœk 0 š x «k 0
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4.4 Coal plant and oil plant 87 4.4
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4.4 Coal plant and oil plant 89 cor
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4.5 Nuclear plant 91 of 1000 MW. Ov
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4.7 All production plants 93 possib
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4.8 Transmission lines 95 Unit type
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4.9 Real option theory 97 The scien
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4.10 Value of different production
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4.12 Summary 101 like the capped sp
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Chapter 5 Hedging strategies 5.1. O
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È È È È È 5.2 Traditional hedg
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É È É È Ì 5.2 Traditional hedg
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5.3 Relevance for electricity hedgi
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5.4 Best Hedge 111 that the expecte
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5.4 Best Hedge 113 that they alread
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Chapter 6 Power portfolio optimizat
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6.3 Power portfolio optimization in
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6.3 Power portfolio optimization in
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6.4 Modeling of plants and their op
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6.4 Modeling of plants and their op
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x k xëk x ìk Ü xë k 0Ü x ìk 0
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6.4 Modeling of plants and their op
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gìi Û S í SÜ D í DÜ I a í I
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õ õ 6.5 Analysis of optimal dispa
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õ Ü r á 6.5 Analysis of optimal
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¢ é á 6.5 Analysis of optimal di
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ìj Û 1 bë j Ý?Ü j 1Ü á?á@á
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u ¦ j Ü è è aëj ¦ bë j u j
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õ õ õ á á 6.5 Analysis of opti
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6.6 Power portfolio optimization wi
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- Page 183 and 184: 6.7 Summary 167 opportunity set wou
- Page 185 and 186: Chapter 7 Case study In this chapte
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- Page 189 and 190: S7 D7 min 8 0 if S i or D p otherwi
- Page 191 and 192: 175 Production Spot price Demand [C
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- Page 205 and 206: 7.6 Summary 189 We have quantified
- Page 207 and 208: Chapter 8 Conclusions The special c
- Page 209 and 210: a4q V a4q G 1 V H a4q 6 Appendix A
- Page 211: 8 _ 195 Proof The results follow im
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- Page 217 and 218: Bibliography [ABA98] [AD80] [ADEH97
- Page 219 and 220: Bibliography 203 [BS73] [BS98] [BT0
- Page 221 and 222: Bibliography 205 [GR92] H. Gravelle
- Page 223 and 224: Bibliography 207 [Mer76] R. C. Mert
- Page 225 and 226: Bibliography 209 [SC89] [Sch90] [Sc
- Page 227: Curriculum Vitae Personal Data Name