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Hedging Strategy and Electricity Contract Engineering - IFOR

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ö<br />

õ<br />

õ<br />

158 Power portfolio optimization<br />

x c 2K<br />

÷ ã ÙˆÚ ný<br />

subject to<br />

max<br />

ÙˆÚ<br />

r ø ¤ ã zÙˆÚ<br />

J ãÑÙmÚOã LÙˆÚ K, J<br />

J<br />

J ì<br />

1<br />

J<br />

jâ 1<br />

lÛ x c Ü õ Ü y j Ý (6.53)<br />

1<br />

1 Ý<br />

z j C (6.54)<br />

jâ<br />

Û J<br />

1<br />

z j x c lÛ Ü õ Ü y j z Ý ŒÜ j j J Ü 1Ü<br />

(6.55)<br />

0Ü<br />

0 V kã j V 0<br />

k<br />

k<br />

1Ü<br />

á?á@á<br />

kã V j V 0<br />

k<br />

k<br />

I iã j<br />

1 iâ<br />

Ü K 1Ü j<br />

I iã j<br />

1Ü<br />

á?á@á<br />

0Ü kã 1Ü<br />

L j k<br />

V K V 0<br />

1<br />

J<br />

r<br />

iâ 1<br />

ië<br />

1Ü õ<br />

á?á@á<br />

k<br />

1 iâ<br />

J Ü<br />

1 iâ 1<br />

iâ<br />

Ü K 1Ü Ü j J<br />

K<br />

iâ 1<br />

á?á@á<br />

I iã j<br />

k<br />

L iã j<br />

á?á@á<br />

Ü K 1Ü j<br />

K<br />

iâ 1<br />

i<br />

0Ü i 1Ü<br />

ë<br />

L iã j<br />

k<br />

iâ 1<br />

á@á?á<br />

L iã j<br />

K<br />

k<br />

iâ 1<br />

xëiã j<br />

á?á@á<br />

xëiã j<br />

ì iã x Ü<br />

j<br />

(6.56)<br />

ì iã x<br />

j<br />

V max (6.57) Ü<br />

Ü J (6.58)<br />

iâ 1<br />

xëiã j<br />

ì iã x<br />

j<br />

V end (6.59)<br />

Ü r (6.60)<br />

áaá@á<br />

x c<br />

iâ 1<br />

iì<br />

X c á<br />

1Ü õ<br />

i<br />

0Ü i 1Ü<br />

ì<br />

áaá@á<br />

(6.62)<br />

Ükô (6.61)<br />

As in the static case, (6.54) <strong>and</strong> (6.55) governs that the risk is kept below an<br />

acceptable level, (6.56) prevents us from producing when no water is available,<br />

(6.57) assures that we do not pump up water above the maximal accepted level<br />

<strong>and</strong> together with (6.58) that excessive water inflow is lost through spill over.<br />

Sustainability is again governed by (6.59). Constraint (6.60) <strong>and</strong> (6.61) put<br />

technical limits on the dispatch <strong>and</strong> again the general constraint (6.62) can<br />

enforce any linear contract portfolio constraint.<br />

To penalize the scenarios where the end-water level is below the threshold V end

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