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As to the processes producing these sorts <strong>of</strong> patterns, he said<br />

biodiversity scientists broadly saw three: history, <strong>and</strong> two ecological<br />

processes, disturbance <strong>and</strong> productivity. Whereas marine biologists in<br />

particular <strong>of</strong>ten looked for ecological solutions to problems, the answer lay<br />

<strong>of</strong>ten in history <strong>and</strong> not ecology. When monitoring in the deep sea, it should<br />

not be forgotten that natural patterns could vary from place to place for<br />

reasons now invisible that depended on the history <strong>of</strong> the area. For<br />

example, deep-sea species counts from the North Atlantic seemed to fit<br />

onto a nice line except for the Norwegian Sea, which was an outlier. He had<br />

spent some time arguing in the press with Rex about what that meant.<br />

There were many potential explanations: history, the fact that the sea was<br />

under ice only 8000 years ago; modern ecology, the odd nature <strong>of</strong> the<br />

Norwegian Sea, where cold water sank to the bottom <strong>and</strong> spread out; <strong>and</strong><br />

something simple like geography, the peninsular effect that caused the<br />

environment to narrow on a peninsula, producing fewer species. Snakes in<br />

Europe were an example <strong>of</strong> the geographic effect: there were no snakes in<br />

Irel<strong>and</strong>, only two species in Britain <strong>and</strong> many more on the continent.<br />

Lambshead then showed the same <strong>data</strong> plotted differently, using<br />

the latitudinal gradient approach pioneered by Rex in a paper published a<br />

few years ago in Nature 27 (see chapter 14 above). Where Rex had worked<br />

with molluscs -- one <strong>of</strong> the best-known groups -- <strong>and</strong> one or two others,<br />

Lambshead had used nematode <strong>data</strong> from the North Atlantic. He had not<br />

found the same pattern; in fact, he had obtained almost r<strong>and</strong>om variation.<br />

The explanation seemed to be that the North Atlantic, as far as nematodes<br />

were concerned, was not a good place to work because it was divided into a<br />

series <strong>of</strong> basins, each with its individual ecological character <strong>and</strong> different<br />

history. When he switched to species count plotted against latitude, a rising<br />

curve appeared, but the Norwegian Sea was still <strong>of</strong>fline. He <strong>and</strong> Rex were<br />

still arguing about whether an adjustment for depth would destroy the<br />

significance.<br />

In addition to the North Atlantic <strong>data</strong>, two more sets had been<br />

submitted to journals, from the CCFZ <strong>and</strong> the Arabian Sea. The Central<br />

Pacific was a better place for this sort <strong>of</strong> experiment, as it was not divided<br />

into basins <strong>and</strong> was all at the same depth. For the CCFZ, the <strong>data</strong> could be<br />

broken into two sets: where there was more productivity, there were more<br />

species. It seemed, certainly for deep-sea nematodes, that if more<br />

productivity were pumped to the abyss, more species would be found. The<br />

<strong>data</strong> from the Arabian Sea had come from a station at 3400 m that was the<br />

most productive he had ever seen as well as the most diverse. This pattern<br />

was based on just three <strong>data</strong>sets, <strong>and</strong> thus was very tentative.<br />

INTERNATIONAL SEABED AUTHORITY 383

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