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effects became nonsignificant (although still in the right direction). It appears that critics were<br />

right: proper diagnosis of treatment effects requires separate consideration of program graduates<br />

and failures (Austin, 1998). It is not enough to simply expose an inmate to TC; he/she must<br />

successhlly complete it to enjoy any significant, lasting advantage. TC graduates who maintained<br />

full time employment after release from prison had the lowest reincarceration rates overall.<br />

Survival analyses showed visible effects of TC primarily after 12 months, although hazard rates<br />

began to rise sharply after 6 - 9 months.<br />

In contrast to findings for reincarceration, TC had no significant effect on rearrests.<br />

Arrests, of course, may or may not result in formal charges, convictions, or reincarcerations.<br />

Reincarceration may simply be a more reliable indicator of post-release outcome. No significant<br />

interactions between TC and other variables (e.g., institutional setting, employment status) were<br />

@<br />

found. However, full-time employment following release from prison once again showed a<br />

significant effect in lowering the likelihood of rearrest.<br />

Last, but not least, we examined the effects of TC and other variables on parole outcomes<br />

including drug testing. Thirty-six percent of inmates in the TC group and 39% of inmates in the<br />

Comparison group had at least one positive drug test during the at-risk period. Although a<br />

positive drug test does not necessarily result in a technical parole violation (TPV), a new offense,<br />

a new arrest, or a new reincarceration, high relapse rates are certainly of concern. Relapse rates<br />

were sigrdicantly higher for two of the five institutions examined, the only instance in which we<br />

found any significant effect of institutional setting on treatment outcomes. Employment had a<br />

strong effect on reducing the likelihood of relapse. Inmates who were employed full-time during<br />

the at-risk period were half as likely to test positive for drug use.<br />

131<br />

This document is a research report submitted to the U.S. Department of <strong>Justice</strong>. This report has not<br />

been published by the Department. Opinions or points of view expressed are those of the author(s)<br />

and do not necessarily reflect the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of <strong>Justice</strong>.

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