RenewableS 2013 GlObal STaTUS RePORT - REN21

op. cit. note 1, p. 13. Below expectations also from Peng, op. cit.
note 19. Note that China added 1.06 GW of on-grid PV capacity
in 2012 for a total of 3.28 GW, per Wang Wei, China National
Renewable Energy Center (CNREC), “China renewables and
non-fossil energy utilization,” www.cnrec.org/cn/english/publication/2013-03-02-371.html,
viewed April 2013.
28 One-third of panel shipments from Michael Barker, “China
Consumes 33% of Global Photovoltaic Panel Shipments in Q4’12,
According to NPD Solarbuzz,” RenewableEnergyWorld.com, 22
January 2013; exceeded Germany from “Solarbuzz: PV demand
reaches 29 GW in 2012,” op. cit. note 2; government efforts from
Ucilia Wang, “First Solar, SunPower Ink Major Deals in China,”
Forbes, 3 December 2012.
29 About 25% of capacity in operation by mid-2012 was considered
distributed, according to the State Grid Corporation, cited in
Frank Haugwitz, “January 2013-Briefing Paper-China Solar
Development,” Asia Europe Clean Energy (Solar) Advisory Co., Ltd,
contribution to REN21, 21 February 2013.
30 To help achieve China’s Energy Policy 2012, the National Energy
Administration issued the “12th Five-Year Plan for Solar Power
Development,” which includes a focus on the construction of
distributed solar systems linked to buildings or facilities in eastern
and central China, per Gary Wigmore, James Murray, and Shepard
Liu, “China Policy: Strategic Developments in Solar and Wind
Power Policies,” in U.S.-China Market Review..., op. cit. note 19,
p. 15. At year’s end, a pipeline of projects under the Golden Sun
and Solar Rooftop programmes was expected to bring more than
2.5 GW of capacity into operation during 2013, per Steven Han,
“Distributed PV Power Generation to Accelerate China Market
Growth,” NPD SolarBuzz, 6 December 2012, at www.renewableenergyworld.com.
31 An estimated 1,718 MW was added for a total of 6,632 MW, per
IEA-PVPS, provided by Masson, op. cit. note 1. This number was
used as it was the latest data available. Note that estimates for
Japan were wide ranging, including 2,000 MW added for a total
of 7,000 MW at the end of 2012, per IEA-PVPS, op. cit. note 1;
6,914 MW per EPIA, op. cit. note 1, p. 32; and as high as 7.3 GW,
per Japan Photovoltaic Energy Association (JPEA), provided by
Matsubara Hironao, Institute for Sustainable Energy Policies
(ISEP), Tokyo, personal communication with REN21, 21 April
2013; 90% in the FIT system (with 40% for projects >1 MW) from
www.enecho.meti.go.jp/saiene/kaitori/index.html (in Japanese),
provided by Hironao, op. cit. this note.
32 Yuriy Humber and Tsuyoshi Inajima, “Japan’s Aggressive
FIT Already Unlocking Gigawatts of Wind and Solar Power,”
Bloomberg, 1 October 2012, at www.renewableenergyworld.com.
33 Australia added an estimated 1,000 MW for a total of 2,400 MW,
per IEA-PVPS, op. cit. note 1; and added 1,000 MW for a total of
2,412 MW, per EPIA, op. cit. note 1, p. 32. Note, however, that final
numbers could come in lower, per Masson, op. cit. note 1.
34 “Rooftop PV in South Australia Lowers Energy Demand,” PV
News, September 2012, p. 8. Grid electricity demand fell about
5% in 2011–12, due greatly to these systems, according to South
Australian Electricity Report, August 2012, cited in idem.
35 India’s capacity increased from 225 MW at year-end 2011 to
1,205 MW at year-end 2012, from PVPS, op. cit. note 1, and from
EPIA, op. cit. note 1, p. 32.
36 Namibia (237 kW; largest in country, on roof of supermarket),
South Africa 630 kW (largest roof-installed solar PV system
in Africa); also, in Botswana (1 MW partially installed by early
2013, from “SolarWorld Expands its International Business,”
SonnenSeite.com, 8 February 2013. Also, there are two larger
PV installations in South Africa (1 MW Dilokong Chrome and 850
kW Cape Town Solar), per PLATTS UDI World Electric Power
Plants Database, provided by Caspar Priesemann, Deutsche
Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH,
personal communication with REN21, 19 April 2013. Note that
South Africa has approved solar PV projects under the Renewable
Energy IPP Programme (REIPPP), has signed agreements with
“window 1” bidders, and is about to reach project closure under
“window 2”; none of the plants have been commissioned as
yet, per W. Jonker Klunne, Council for Scientific and Industrial
Research, Pretoria, personal communication with REN21, 21
April 2013. Chinese companies from Bloomberg New Energy
Finance (BNEF), “Germany and US Report Strong Growth in Solar
Installations,” Energy: Week in Review, 12–18 June 2012. Most
projects are for powering street lamps, from idem.
37 EPIA, op. cit. note 1, p. 31.
38 Scott Burger, “Turkey Solar Market Outlook, 2013-2017,” PV
News, February 2013, p. 1; Matt Carr, “Photovoltaic Opportunities
in Saudi Arabia Growing,” RenewableEnergyWorld.com, 5
February 2013; Wael Mahdi, “Saudi Arabia Plans $109 Billion
Boost for Solar Power,” Bloomberg.com, 22 November 2012;
“Saudi Arabia’s Largest PV System Installed,” PV News, March
2013, p. 13; Isofoton signed a joint venture agreement for 300 MW
in August, per “Isofoton to Develop PV Plants in MENA, India with
INDSYS,” PV News, November 2012, p. 12.
39 IMS Research, “Thailand and Indonesia to Drive South East Asia
PV Market,” press release (Shanghai: 1 November 2012); Malaysia
had an estimated 22 GW by the end of 2012, per EPIA, op. cit.
note 1, p. 31. Thailand ranks fifth in the Asia-Pacific region, after
China, Japan, India, and Australia, from idem.
40 Masson, op. cit. note 1; NPD Solarbuzz, Emerging PV Markets
Report: Latin America & Caribbean, cited in Chris Sunsong, “Latin
America and Caribbean PV Demand Growing 45% Annually Out
to 2017,” NPD Solarbuzz, 2 January 2013, at www.renewableenergyworld.com;
commercial (e.g., IKEA) and industrial (e.g.,
Grupo Mesa) sectors from Bea Gonzalez, “Off-grid CPV in Latin
America,” 13 February 2013, at http://news.pv-insider.com; and
“Solar in Latin America & The Caribbean 2013: Markets, Outlook
and Competitive Positioning,” PV News, February 2013, p. 13.
Chile went from zero grid-connected capacity in early 2012 to 3.6
MW in operation in January 2013, with 1.3 MW under construction,
per Rodrigo Escobar Moragas, Pontificia Universidad
Católica de Chile, personal communication with REN21, 18 April
2013.
41 See, for example, International Renewable Energy Agency
(IRENA), International Off-grid Renewable Energy Conference: Key
Findings and Recommendations (Abu Dhabi: forthcoming 2013).
42 Becky Beetz, “Tokelau Officially Becomes World’s First 100% PV
Powered Territory,” PV Magazine, 15 November 2012, at www.
pv-magazine.com.
43 Australia, Israel, Norway, and Sweden from Solar Server,
“Electricity for the rest of the world – opportunities in off-grid
solar power,” www.solarserver.com/solar-magazine/solar-report/
solar-report/electricity-for-the-rest-of-the-world-opportunities-inoff-grid-solar-power.html.
Australia had an estimated 16.1 MW of
rural off-grid capacity by the end of 2012, up from 13.7 MW at the
end of 2011, per Green Energy Markets, “Small-Scale technology
certificates data modeling for 2013 to 2015,” February 2013.
Off-grid systems accounted for 10% of the U.S. market in 2009
but have declined since then; Australia and South Korea also
installs dozens of MW of off-grid capacity each year, per EPIA, op.
cit. note 1, p. 10.
44 Paula Mints, “12 Solar Power Myths and the Saving Grace of a
Worthwhile Cause,” RenewableEnergyWorld.com, 10 December
2012.
45 Figures of 1% and 100 MW from Masson, op. cit. note 1. The
market is about 1% from GTM Research, cited in Dave Levitan,
“Will Solar Windows Transform Buildings to Energy Producers?”
Yale Environment 360, 3 May 2012, at http://e360.yale.edu. The
market was an estimated 400 MW at a value of just over USD 600
million from Pike Research, cited in “BIPV, BAPV Markets to Grow
Five-Fold by 2017,” PV Intelligence Brief, 20 December 2012–8
January 2013, at http://news.pv-insider.com.
46 BCC Research, “Building-integrated Photovoltaics (BIPV):
Technologies and global markets,” cited in “BIPV technology
and markets: Explosive growth now predicted for BIPV players,”
Renewable Energy World, November–December 2011, p. 10.
47 Robin Whitlock, “Report: BIPV to Be One of the Fastest Growing
PV Segments,” RenewableEnergyFocus.com, 21 August 2012.
48 Elisa Wood, “Gardens that Grow Gigawatts: Community Solar
Poised to Hit Big Time,” Large Scale Solar Supplement, Renewable
Energy World, September–October 2012, pp. 18–20. Most
projects are in the 1 MW range, from idem.
49 By the end of 2012 or early 2013, the first phase (37 kW) of the
project had been installed, per “Australian Community Solar
Project Begins Operation,” PV News, January 2013, p. 11.
50 Figure of 30 MW and up from Denis Lenardic, pvresources.com,
personal communication with REN21, 31 March 2013; 10 MW and
up from Philip Wolfe, “The Rise and Rise of Utility-scale Solar,”
Large Scale Solar Supplement, Renewable Energy World, March–
April 2013, pp. 4–6.
51 More than 4 GW and at least 12 from Denis Lenardic, pvresources.
com, personal communications with REN21, 24 February and 31
March 2013, and from “Large-scale Photovoltaic Power Plants
Ranking 1-50,” www.pvresources.com/PVPowerPlants/Top50.
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